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Rome, December 15, 2020 – i deaths in Italy in 2020 under the weight of the pandemic of Coronavirus. The year “is not over yet, but a reasonable assessment suggests we will cross the line 700 thousand deaths in general “, explains the president ofState, Gian Carlo Blangiardo, guest of Agorà in Rai Tre. “It is a worrying value because something like this last time, in Italy, it had happened in 1944. We were in the middle of World War II “, he continues, specifying that” in 2019 the figure was 647,000 dead. ”
Coronavirus: the December 15 newsletter
Ricciardi: “Risk of another 40 thousand deaths in March”
And it also talks about victims Walter Ricciardi, advisor to the Ministry of Health and professor of Hygiene at the Catholic University of Rome. “The reported cases are just the tip of the iceberg” and “the dead grow impressively: we had 36,000 in the first phase “and in the second phase”, if this trend continues we will have them 40,000 in February-MarchRicciardi said, always a guest in Agorà.
Regarding the hypothesis of a total lockdown at Christmas has no doubts: “Absolutely yes, if it continues like this.” With regard to contagion cases, explains the expert, “in the first part of the epidemic, the seroepidemiological investigation showed that 6 cases were reported in the country for each reported case. Today we are not at that level, but I think at least double or triple. And of these 5% go to the hospital. ”
And then, to demonstrate the seriousness of the situation there is “an unequivocal fact, the death toll: Germany has so far 20,000 dead, a third of ours. “Yes, therefore to more restrictive measures, according to Ricciardi. A recent study, he recalled, shows that” when you only make recommendations, human nature leads to doing everything allowed and this leads to reducing the infections in only 3%, with these rates we can never lower the curve. Instead, blocking reduces it by 15%, and this is the only possible way when there is no longer the possibility of tracking. ”
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