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A certainty: “We are still fully in the storm”, in the words of Roberto Battiston, internationally renowned physicist who teaches at the University of Trento and has applied mathematics to the coronavirus. The Covid-19 epidemic is slowly slowing down. Walter Ricciardi, councilor for the Ministry of Health and professor of hygiene at the Cattolica in Rome, warns: “December and January will be terrible.” He identified two critical points: “The problems of access to services and the many differences at the regional level, also due to lack of resources.” All foresee a third wave. To crush it, indeed to anticipate it, the vaccine race has begun. England came first, today the administration of PfizerBioNTech begins, approved in record time last week. France will be ready in early January. So Germany, said Minister Helge Braun. Give to …
A certainty: “We are still in full storm”, to quote Roberto Battiston, internationally renowned physicist who teaches at the University of Trento and has applied mathematics to Coronavirus. The epidemic of COVID-19 slow down slowly. Walter Ricciardi, advisor to the Ministry of Health and professor of Hygiene at the Cattolica in Rome, warns: “December and January will be terrible.” He identified two critical points: “The problems of access to services and the many differences at the regional level, also due to lack of resources.”
All provide one third wave. To crush it, indeed to anticipate it, the rush to vaccine. England came first, today the administration of the PfizerBioNTech, approved in record time last week. France will be ready in early January. Thus Germany, assured Minister Helge Braun. Priority will be given to the chronically ill, those over 80 years of age and health workers. At least 8.6 million people, according to estimates.
And in Italy? Based on the latest information, we will see the first doses on January 26. Matteo Bassetti, director of the Infectious Diseases Clinic of the San Martino Hospital in Genoa, sounds the alarm. “The other countries are going fast, but we are walking. Go see how they have prepared the vaccination campaign in Germany. They know where they will do it. They know exactly who they will vaccinate. They even have the time and the dates. They are all very early. Europe’s black sheep. Having had the highest number of deaths and the most damage to the economy, we run the risk of becoming the last to start over. If you don’t get vaccinated, you should know very clearly, 2021 will be a photocopy 2020 “.
Covid vaccine: the guide
The teacher complains of receiving insults on social networks, for their positions. Instead, we should “go speak in schools, mount an exceptional campaign. I see too much ignorance, politics does not have a clear position, doubt. Science is more or less on the same side. Even if some colleague has not helped. If you are going to say: the vaccine only prevents serious diseases, not contagions, people think, I said that it is useless. ”For Bassetti, on the other hand, the laws should also be changed,“ today only health workers can administer it, in others places pharmacies help. “
But how much will this delay cost us compared to the others? The numbers man Battiston is not scared: “Of course, the later we have the vaccine, the greater the challenge for Italy to arrive without the third wave benefiting from it. Because this is the only decisive response we can imagine in a democratic, European, Western country. But we have to tighten our belts. ”It launches an appeal:“ Let’s take advantage of this month of constraints and limits, put reservations in the farmhouse and then face a period that is certainly challenging, if not difficult. But if the bridge between January and the arrival of the vaccine is too long, we run the risk of the famous third wave, we run the risk of another blockade. It is a very real scenario. That is why the government has decided such a strong grip, blocking Christmas. Today we are in April conditions. But there is no lock. People move. , goes shopping, crowds here and there, the most important regions are yellow. So the epidemic is almost at its peak, but we as a society have opened up. Living with such a widespread virus without vaccine and without emergency shutdown it is a very serious challenge. We risk mourning almost a thousand deaths a day ”.
The other magician of numbers, Nino Cartabellotta, doctor and president of the Gimbe foundation in Bologna, does not see a hole for our country. He ranks: “By December 29, the EMA, the European drug agency, will rule on the BioNTech and Pfizer vaccine. If you give the green light, you can start the campaign from that moment. Those who have organized in time will have more time … But in a situation like this, a few weeks cannot change the outcome of the campaign. This is absolutely true. In the first month, any country will be able, in the best of cases, to vaccinate only health workers. In Italy there are 1.6 million, we will start with them. Before December 29, except England, nobody can leave. We are organizing, others are doing the same. But I repeat, a month or so does not change the result ”.
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