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In fact, given your hand, a few drops of cold sweat should start running. The data of the infections of the last week have grown exponentially, so much as to trigger the lockdown alarm in five regions. And, from a quick comparison, it turns out that the figures are the same as those registered at the end of March, in the midst of the quarantine and the health crisis.
The data, however, Before comparing them, it is advisable to analyze them and, based on the evidence that emerges, draw the appropriate conclusions. That is why what is running these days on Facebook is a beautiful and good hoax. Although the numbers are somewhat similar, there are very few points of contact. On closer inspection, today’s data, worrisome as it is, they are not as bad as last spring. And the reasons for saying such a thing are manifold.
Comparison of Covid data from March 23 to October 8: the differences
On February 21, 2020, health authorities confirmed the first “domestic” outbreak of Covid, registered in Codogno, Lodi province. One month after (23 March) the new daily positives were 4,789, with 601 deaths and thousands of hospitalized throughout Italy. Take a quick leap forward and reachOctober 8th It turns out that the number of new positives is more or less the same: last Thursday, in fact, the national health system registered 4,458 more infected than the previous day.
However, all the other data are not comparable in the least. The deaths, in fact, were only 22, while the number of swabs performed has almost increased tenfold. While on March 23 local health authorities were able to process 17,000 swabs (28% of which were positive), on March 8 almost 130,000 swabs were made and only 3.5% tested positive.
Galli: “Better situation, but don’t underestimate”
In summary, although the figures are somewhat comparable, the current situation is not as worrying as it was at the end of March. Opinion also shared by Professor Massimo Galli who, from his Twitter profile, affirms that “It is a fact that the positives of today are on average much better than the positives of March, but in March we were only able to rub those who were sick or very sick, while the others, about 95% of those infected, stayed in House. without being able to “.
At the same time, however, you don’t need to take everything lightly. “To prevent the situation from getting out of control, we have to take important measures. It should be remembered that in France, Spain and the United Kingdom already have blockades. Minimizing saying that the patients are few and less serious does not help, but it generates confusion about the objectives, creating false illusions ”.
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