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SAUL LOEB via Getty Images
With a tweet sent very early in the morning, Donald Trump ushered in the most unpredictable phase of the most unpredictable of America’s election campaigns. From the little information contained in the tweet, we can deduce several things. Trump wrote: “Tonight the First Lady and I tested positive for Covid 19. We will begin the quarantine immediately. And we will go out TOGETHER ”.
Tonight, @FLOTUS and I tested positive for COVID-19. We will begin our quarantine and recovery process immediately. We will get through it TOGETHER!
– Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 2, 2020
Shortly thereafter, an official statement came from the White House physician: “The President and the First Lady are doing well and will remain in their White House apartments while they recover,” wrote Dr. Sean P. Conley. “I hope that the president continues working and I will keep you informed in case of news.”
The first thing we can deduce from these words is that Trump’s life is not at risk at the moment: if it were not, he would be immediately transferred to Walter.Reed National Military Medical Center in Bethesda, where the presidents and senior officials of the Administration are treated. However, we do not know how long she will stay “in her apartments”: it will depend on the course of the disease.
We also know that the virus has blocked him in the last four weeks before the vote, when he desperately needs to campaign to make up lost ground against his opponent, given the advantage in the polls. Trump won’t be able to make speeches and may have to skip the next televised debate: no more images of Donald surrounded by his base of loyalists with red hair and writing. Keep america cool Thus.
You can imagine that the conservative television network Fox News will be called up to an even bigger role in the coming weeks: Given its closeness to the president, it will become the most important window that Trump will have available to appear. So let’s hope you’ll see it often on Fox’s schematics – and on Twitter too. Two excellent messaging tools, yet lacking the energy that only public events can give followers.
Finally, it can be assumed that the Covid issue will become even more important in the electoral campaign. For a long time Trump said that the virus would disappear on its own, he appeared in public without a mask and on Tuesday, during the chaotic television debate in Biden that scolded him for not respecting social distances at rallies, he responded: “We have no it had no negative effect, even in meetings with 35-40 thousand people present ”. Biden responded that the way Trump handled social distancing and the mask issue was “totally irresponsible.” Now that the virus has reached the most controlled home in America, we know he was right.
Finally, we know with certainty that from now on Covid will overshadow other issues that Trump was targeting: from the anarchist violence that, he said, seized some American cities after the riots after the death of African American George Floyd at the hands of the police , the Supreme Court issue, the economy.
Biden and the Democrats will seek to take advantage of Trump’s physical absence from the campaign and will insist on the need to go to vote and ensure that the transfer, if any, is peaceful and unopposed.
These are the few things that are clear, in these hours: but the reality is that Trump’s announcement sets in motion a chain of unpredictable events in an already very complex election, where health issues and the democratic legitimacy of the institutions. Americans, economy and environment.
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