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Coronavirus in Veneto, Friuli Venezia Giulia and Trentino Alto Adige: the latest news about contagion, mortality, the differences between the first and second wave.
Yesterday, the bulletin published by Civil Protection revealed another 46 deaths in Veneto (later increased to 80 with the update of the Region) and 18 in Friuli Venezia Giulia, about a fifth of the 364 registered in Italy. Even on an atypical day, which is the Saturday after New Year’s Eve that inevitably suffers a delay in data loading, such a significant quota is no longer surprising: on this Second wave, indeed, The Northeast marks an increase in mortality from Covid, calculated as the number of victims per hundred thousand inhabitants, well above the rest of the territories and the national average.
Covid, mortality rate
“There is no doubt that the high rate that we are registering is closely related to the large number of infections found in this area, “says Sandro Cinquetti, president of Triveneto of the Italian Society for Hygiene, Preventive Medicine and Public Health, helping us to decipher what at first glance might seem obvious.
Curve of the dead
The latest report from Altems, the Higher School of Economics and Health Systems Management of the Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, focused precisely on the death curve, noting that it does not decline as observers would have expected. In particular analysts compared two periods, from October 17 to November 15 and from November 16 to December 15, to see how crude mortality (“number of patients who died in the reference population in the time interval considered”) has changed.
New Year’s Eve party at the luxury resort, on the tables the note: “Do not publish photos”. But the images end up on social media
Northeast Victim Registry
Well, in Italy the figure has more than doubled, going from 14.53 to 33.40 deaths per one hundred thousand inhabitants in a month, when the maximum value reached between March 19 and April 17 was 32 But a In the Northeast, the increase was even more substantial: the rate has almost quintupled in Friuli Venezia Giulia (from 13.95 to 62.16) and has almost quadrupled in Veneto (from 12.18 to 43.30), marked substantial increases also in Trentino (19.71 to 47.17) and similarly in South tyrol (from 19.73 to 47.36), so much so that these four realities are among the top seven in the country.
Absolutely the highest figures are for the Aosta Valley, but without substantial differences between autumn and winter (from 81.27 to 82.07). Piedmont (from 19.58 to 48.28) and Lombardy (from 22.86 to 44.78) complete the leading group. At the bottom of the ranking, below the Italian average, are the Central-South regions, such as Lazio (from 10.71 to 23.51) and Calabria (from 3.64 to 11.38), which show in turn it increases, but in much more modest values.
Luca zaia
Giacomo Possamai, leader of the dem group in the Regional Council, criticizes the governor of the Northern League, Luca Zaia, asking for more restrictions: “From theory to theory, from variant to variant, the president still does not answer the most important question: Why have a hundred people lost their lives every day in Veneto for weeks due to Covid?“Beyond the political tirade, the case of the Northeast undoubtedly also stands out on the death front, as well as on the infection front. A crucial parallel according to Dr. Cinquetti:” It is a mortality that derives from an important case study, on which we are called to intervene and in fact we are intervening. It is necessary to be able to bend the curve of infections: this result will also lead to the decline in the death curve, the last parameter in order of time for decrease, approximately 20-25 days later ».
Infection-death: how long does it take?
Clinically, in fact, that is the average amount of time that elapses between infection and death. Doctors quantify incubation of the disease in 4-5 days from infection, after that 1-2 weeks pass from the onset of symptoms to any unfavorable clinical evolution, when hospitalization in a non-critical area usually occurs, until before a worsening in the respiratory level, transfer to intensive care is necessary, where death can occur 3-4 weeks after the encounter with the virus. Obviously, the tragedy does not concern all the positive aspects, as the Cattolica researchers document when calculating the apparent gross lethality, that is, the number of victims per thousand infected: in the last week analyzed, the rate was 4.40 in South Tyrol, 5.64 in Veneto, 9.24 in Friuli Venezia Giulia and 15.94 in Trentino, compared to a national figure of 5.08.
The causes of deaths
These numbers fluctuate in the context of the long-standing debate between deaths and deaths with Covid. In this sense, it should be remembered that the Higher Institute of Health has established four criteria for the definition of per: «Death that occurred in a patient that can be defined as a microbiologically confirmed case (molecular swab) of Covid-19. Presence of a clinical and instrumental picture suggestive of Covid-19. Absence of a clear cause of death other than Covid-19. Lack of a full clinical recovery period between illness and death. ”
The same Iss specified that “pre-existing pathologies that may have favored or predisposed to a negative course of infection (for example, cancer, cardiovascular, kidney and other diseases) should not be considered among the clear causes of death other than Covid-19. liver disease, dementia, psychiatric pathologies and diabetes). ”Complications that significantly increase the risk of a bad outcome, as also highlighted by the recent Azienda Zero survey, which identified the risk profile in men over seventy years of age, especially if they already suffer from diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, dementia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or hypertensive heart disease.
Last updated: 09:01
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