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Except for yesterday’s surprises, both in Campania and in the rest of Italy, the epidemic peak of the second wave What happens when the number of new cases begins to be less than that of cured ones. In short, the Coronavirus fever seems to finally subside. A trend started in the week following the blockade (it started for Tuscany and Campania with the passage in the red zone on November 8) and continued in the week that just passed, from 16 to 22 this month. A period of 14 days sufficient to draw conclusions. The Ministry of Health meets this Friday with the control room to decide on the reorganization of the epidemic risk areas of the regions, according to the minister last Monday. Roberto Speranza signed the new ordinance with which he renewed the restrictive measures for the autonomous province of Bolzano and Basilicata, Liguria and Umbria.
Campania could still remain in the red zone Above all, to consolidate the results achieved so far, namely, the decrease in infections but also the stability of intensive therapies, which for a few days have been around 200 units, very close to the maximum threshold of 30 percent set by ministerial indicators. Engagement from medical areas remains high (in 72 percent of Covid sites well above the alert threshold of 40), but the uptrend has been broken for the first time by the proportion cured. Taking into account all of Italy, intensive care increased by 32 yesterday, but hospitalizations decreased by 264 compared to many cured, with almost 6,700 currently fewer positives than the previous day and an Rt index (calculated on all positives but not on the symptoms as correct from the ISS) which falls well below the value 1 (at 0.81). A slowdown that is registered for the second day in a row and that continues also in Campania with 703 positives currently less than on Tuesday, to which we must add 9 less intensive therapies and only 8 more ordinary hospitalizations for an Rt index that, therefore, in Campania reaches 0.76 (always calculated on all positives). Yesterday in Campania there were still many deaths, 47, for a weekly average of 39 per day increased in the last week, but maintaining the primacy of the lowest value in the country compared to the mass of infected people counted as of October 1 compared to an Italy that has achieved the highest percentage of deaths per capita in Europe after Belgium.
Anticipating the peak, a strengthening of local services. The data tells us that this service segment is in trouble. An overload that characterizes the contact tracing and home care systems of most of the Italian Regions and that could be further aggravated by the acute flu phase. The Court of Auditors has already focused on, noting a generalized delay in the preparation of the review plans for territorial aid, in the recovery of waiting lists and in the creation of the Usca (Special Continuity of Attention Units) , the latter essential to alleviate the pressure on the hospital system. Another significant figure, and vice versa in constant decline, both in Campania and in the rest of Italy, is the percentage of positive swabs that has fallen in recent days to 12-13 percent on average, the lowest percentage in a month. Of course, the improvement of all the indicators should not make us forget that the absolute numbers are always very high, hospitals are still under great pressure and we have many deaths, so the war against the virus is destined to continue for many days and weeks.
Last updated: 12:55 © REPRODUCTION RESERVED
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