Covid buffers, the numbers in Europe: Spain and France awaited the peak (and were overwhelmed), Germany in August stopped the wave, London betrayed by individuals

Spain me France they waited, like Italy, for the new peak to increase the number of tests, without thus limiting the spread of the pandemic. In Germany and in Britainon the other hand, a higher level of monitoring has always been maintained. Berlin managed to stop the wave, the UK had to deal with the failure of the follow-up plan to Johnson, also due to private contracts without tender that favored conservative elites. In Italy, where the quota was exceeded on October 15 8 thousand new positives, in the week of October 5 to 11, 1,293 swabs per 100,000 inhabitants. More than Spain, less than France, Germany and Great Britain. But what made the difference was above all the continuity of the tests carried out since the summer.

Spain is the country with the least tampons. And infections have been growing since August
The first to have to face the second wave of coronavirus that hit Europe was Spain, which, already in August, when there were a few hundred new patients a day in Italy, was traveling over 2,000 new positives. Until the 21st of the month, when the 8,000 threshold was exceeded, the same situation our country is experiencing today. In that week, however, in the Iberian state, which was trying to respond mainly with local and circumscribed measures, a massive test campaign was not started to try to stop the spread. The number of tampons has increased, but not abruptly, and has stabilized 1,155 tests per 100,000 inhabitants. Today, with the country has also known days with more than 15 thousand infections, in Spain they are carried out 1,445 tampons per 100,000 inhabitants.

France, infections increase but tampons decrease
The new growth of cases in France occurred in the last week of August and Paris It took a short time to get to the level Italy is at today. On September 5, the health authorities registered approximately 9 thousand new cases of coronavirus in the country. Also here, as in Spain, the growth in the number of swabs performed, physiological given that with the increase in infections the number of people in close contact who have had to undergo tests also grows, has been gradual 1,449 swabs per 100,000 people carried out, until reaching the peak of the following two weeks in which up to 1,737 swabs per 100,000 inhabitants. From there, the number of tests carried out began to decline again, despite the fact that the number of infections continued to increase, reaching more than 20 thousand in several days. In the week of October 5 to 11, France performed ‘solo’ 1,484 swabs per 100,000 people, in the previous 1,292.

UK, lots of tampons since the summer. But they pay the limits of privatization
The UK has chosen a completely different approach than Spain, France and Italy. From the week of June 22 to June 28, no less than 1,000 tampons are made in the country for every 100,000 inhabitants. In the one from July 13 to 19, with the number of daily infections ranging between 500 and 800, the Kingdom was already doing more tests than Italy today with 8 thousand cases: 1,344 per 100,000 inhabitants. And the trend continued to increase steadily, until the week of October 5-11 with ben 2,857 swabs per 100,000 people.

Why, then, has the government failed to curb the surge in new patients that reached nearly 20,000 on Wednesday? An answer can be found at tracking system failure gives 12 million pounds announced by the prime minister Boris johnson. Only 38% of the results processed by private majority institutes arrive within 24 hours after swabbing, while back tests are sent to analysis laboratories abroad, including, reveals the Times, even one in Italy, while even the second tracking app doesn’t take off. Bottom line: Many swabs are done, but diagnoses are late, making it impossible to accurately track infections.

Germany, lots of swabs and immediate follow-up: this is how Berlin flattened the contagion curve
On the other hand, those who have experienced a more gradual increase in infections, thus being able to better manage the situation even at the level of hospitals and Beds, it’s Germany. This is because, like Great Britain, it began to do a large number of swabs when the number of infections was low.

Today Sedan does not perform many more tests than Italy. am 1,320 per 100,000 population in the week of October 5 to 11, but, unlike Rome, it has remained at this figure since the week of August 17 to 23, when the country registered between 800 and 2 thousand infections, with a system of timely follow-up. With the same number of infections, Italy carried out between 800 and 1,000 per 100,000 inhabitants, remaining at around 1,000 until the week of September 21-27. Therefore, even if on October 16 Germany reached altitude 7mila contagion, the evolution of the disease in the country was slower and more gradual, allowing health authorities to more easily manage hospital sites.

Twitter: @GianniRosini

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