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In spring, during the so-called first wave of the epidemic, it was the worst affected province in Italy. Eight months later, considering March as the peak month, Bergamo finds itself in the opposite situation. The data relating to the relationship between swabs performed and positive swabs, according to the latest revelation for the first week of November, is 13%. In the rest of Lombardy it is 21.2%. In Italy we are around 15-16%. In March, a new positive out of five in Lombardy resided in the Bergamo area with a peak of 25% on March 15. Yesterday so much …
In spring, during the so-called first wave of the epidemic, it was the worst affected province in Italy. Eight months later, considering March as the peak month, Bergamo you are in the opposite situation. Data related to relationship between swabs performed and positive swabs, according to the latest revelation for the first week of November, is 13%. In the rest of Lombardy it is 21.2%. In Italy we are around 15-16%. In March, a new positive out of five in Lombardy resided in the Bergamo area with a peak of 25% on March 15. Yesterday, to be clear, the positive swabs in the province of Bergamo were 3% of those recorded in all of Lombardy. The primacy, for many weeks, has passed to Milan with the province of Monza characterized by exponential growth. One wonders what are the reasons for this change.
Doctor Alberto Zucchi, you are the head of the epidemiology service of the Bergamo Health Protection Agency (Ats), can we talk about herd immunity or not?
“Technically no, but surely there is a generalized immunity among the population, especially in the areas most affected in the first wave and to tell us these are the serological investigations that we carry out. In Valle Seriana, for example, we register more than 40% seroprevalence. in the sample examined and today that area is one of the least affected in the province ”.
Could the counter-proof be represented by the fact that currently the most affected areas of the province are those on the border with Milan and Brianza, which had suffered less in the spring?
It is a plausible consideration, to which we must add that they are areas in continuity with the provinces currently most affected in Lombardy, Milan and Monza ”.
Could attention to the rules have affected the course change?
“Surely the people of Bergamo have shown and are showing great collaboration. The price paid in the spring, both in terms of deaths (+ 587% in March compared to the same month of 2019 Ed) and hospitalizations in intensive care, it has generated widespread awareness. “
One of the most complex issues in this period is the so-called “recontagiated” …
“We are studying it these days but we estimate very low numbers of confirmed cases. It is a question in which several factors weigh ”.
In the spring, hospitals in Bergamo sent Covid patients to other hospitals in Lombardy. Now it’s the other way around …
“40-45% of those hospitalized come from other provinces. There are no emergencies suffering. However, it is forbidden to underestimate the situation, especially in relation to patients who have other diseases, first of all chronic.”
What should the people of Bergamo do to avoid going back to last spring?
“Continue to respect the rules. It is the only way to contain the infection.”
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