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The director general of Prevention of the Ministry of Health explained that the department is still evaluating which regions will be the red zone
With 7,800 cases, Lombardy is confirmed as the region most affected by the Sars-CoV-2 coronavirus emergency. This was announced by Gianni Rezza, during his speech at the press conference at the Ministry of Health. The Director General for Prevention of the Ministry of Health has also included Piedmont, with 3,600 cases, and Campania, where there are more than 4,000 infections, among the regions that have a fairly high incidence rate. “The incidence rate is also relatively high in Veneto, 2,400 cases, and in Lazio, where there was a slight increase.” The expert then explained that “the number of positives in the number of swabs performed exceeds 10%, therefore, the proportion of positives in the tests performed is quite high and this is not an entirely good sign.”
“Red areas? Evaluations are still ongoing “
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Rezza explained that the Health Ministry is still evaluating which regions will be the red zone. “It is a combination of incidence and trend criteria, Rt value and 21 indicators, including resilience, that is, on how well the system is able to respond. I believe that the application of red zones by the Regions, to small parts of the territory, at the subregional level, is a completely practicable mechanism ”, he added.
Defining red areas
The general director of Prevention of the Ministry of Health explained that the automatic mechanism for the definition of the red zones in which to introduce restrictions is already provided for by the Dpcm, but this “does not mean that everything is so easy.” “RT is an estimating indicator that comes from automated models, but by itself it could also be a fallacy. You also have to look at resilience and this makes the mechanism more sophisticated. It is a parameter that is a set of 21 indicators including those of resilience and this is what we are thinking about ”, Rezza underlined, to later clarify that even within green areas, closures could occur in areas where important outbreaks can develop . “Regions can understand the risk of some areas earlier. The application of red zones in small parts of the regional territory is a completely practicable mechanism. I really don’t think this Dpcm prevents it, on the contrary ”.
