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There are 17,992 new cases of Covid 19 identified in Italy in the last 24 hours for a total of 1,921,778. According to data from the Ministry of Health, the increase in casualties in one day is instead of 674, which brings the total since the beginning of the emergency to 67,894.
According to the bulletin, in Italy there are 627,798 positives currently, 7,545 less than on Thursday. The increase in discharged and cured patients in the last 24 hours is, on the other hand, 22,272, for a total of 1,226,086 since the beginning of the emergency.
The swabs made are 179,800, about 5,000 compared to over 185,000 yesterday. The ratio between identified positives and swabs performed rises again and stands at 10%, a slight increase compared to 9.8% yesterday
I am 2,819 patients in intensive care due to Covid in Italy, 36 less than yesterday in the balance between entries and exits. Daily resuscitation admissions are 189. People hospitalized with symptoms in ordinary wards are 25,769, 658 units less than yesterday.
MONITORING THE ISS
“The incidence in Italy is still too high and the impact of the epidemic still remains in most of the country. This situation does not allow a relaxation of the measures adopted in recent weeks and even requires a strengthening of them in some areas from the country”. This can be read in the draft of the usual monitoring of the SI, relative to the week 7 – December 13, 2020 (data updated to December 16, 2020)
“During the week of follow-up, moderate or high risk is still seen in most Regions with only five Regions at low risk of an uncontrolled and unmanageable epidemic. This trend requires rigor in the adoption and fulfillment of the measures, avoiding relaxation in behavior “.
In particular, Lazio, Liguria and Veneto are classified as high risk. Thirteen Regions / AP are classified as moderate risk, of which 2 (Marche and PA Trento) have a high probability of progressing to high risk in the next month if the current transmissibility remains unchanged. Five regions are classified as low risk.
In the period from November 25 to December 8, 2020, the average transmissibility index Rt calculated in symptomatic cases was equal to 0.86, an increase compared to 0.82 in the follow-up of last week. Point RT values less than 1 are found in 16 regions.
“For the first time there is a sign of countertrend in the Rt transmissibility index compared to the previous week throughout the country, with the return of three Regions to a transmissibility compatible with a type 2 scenario (Lazio, Lombardy and Veneto)”. This is achieved in a European context characterized by a further increase in the number of cases in some European countries (such as the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Germany)
“It is complex to predict the impact that the Christmas period could have, however the greater mobility and interpersonal interaction typical of sociability this season could determine a significant increase in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. In the situation described, this would lead to a consequent rapid increase in cases to levels potentially higher than that observed in November in a context in which the impact of the epidemic on health workers, services and the population remains very high. ”, The ISS writes again.
Although a decrease in incidence has been observed throughout the country during the last 14 days, the value “is still far from the levels that would allow a full recovery at the national level of the identification of cases and the tracing of their contacts. This approach it showed the first signs of criticality when the national value exceeded 50 cases per 100,000 in seven days ”.
