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ROME. In themitigate public events, anti-nightlife measures involving bars and discos, staggering entrances and exits to work to avoid chaos in public transport. And then, the possibility was left to the Regions to proceed with specific closures. The government has given itself a week to decide how far to go with the new measures contained in the Prime Minister’s Decree of October 15, so as not to have to disconnect the entire country again.
Scientists and the WHO have drawn the red line for some time: above 5,000 infections a day it is no longer possible to trace all the close contacts of the positives. Technicians call this the “containment phase,” which consists of keeping the growth of the virus under control. But now, with the 4,458 cases from yesterday against the 3,668 cases the day before, we are moving to the “mitigation phase”, which seeks to limit the damage, with local closures, as yesterday in Latina, or by declaring entire regions “orange zone”. the epidemic curve seems out of control. In practice, leaving production activities open but closing borders, as was done for three days in March before moving to the blockade throughout Italy.
In addition, the scenario that the WHO had prepared for the end of October begins to take shape, because in just three days the number of daily infections has doubled. In other words, the dreaded exponential growth is already a reality. In Campania (all-time record 757 cases) and Lombardy (683) even more than elsewhere. Admissions are also increasing, 143 in medical wards and 21 in intensive care.
But like the deaths (yesterday 22), his recovery is, fortunately, much slower. It helps that the average age of those infected is still only 42. It is necessary to prevent the virus from circulating again among the elderly. Therefore, the technicians are working to deliver stricter measures to the executive.
First of all, we will have to intervene in massive events. Two events of the weekend are worrying: the March for Peace on Sunday and even more so the demonstration of the deniers in Rome where almost no one is likely to wear a mask. Low numbers are expected, but Quaestors have been ordered to proceed with the fines (one thousand euros) to force them to use them. According to the experts of the Technical-Scientific Committee, all the initiatives that involve large concentrations must be “remodeled”, from open-air shows to sporting events. The thousand ceiling could be destined to fall.
In the numbers we are trying to outline a method, also for weddings, funerals and all indoor events, including cinemas, theaters, palaces. The governor of Emilia-Romagna Stefano Bonaccini insists on the percentages of admissions based on capacity (10%, 20% or 25%), while the Minister of Health Roberto Speranza seems to be about tightening the measures. Meanwhile, the ordinance published in the Official Gazette confirms the mandatory mattress for those from Belgium, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Northern Ireland, the Czech Republic, Spain and – again – all of France.
In lin and more generally, the orange zones could be activated when the alert levels are exceeded in a stable way for parameters such as the incidence of cases in the population and the contagion index (the R with t). Apart from the temporary ban on leaving a province, region or municipality, the measures to be taken within the area could be those decided yesterday by Lazio for the province of Latina, where since October 4 the cases have increased by 155% : 20 maximum people in private parties, 4 in bars and restaurants, which will lower the blinds to 24. For now, the government excludes early closings of these activities throughout Italy and but it is a hypothesis feared by the CTS. Young people are in the spotlight again, huddled in front of bars and discos. That is why we are considering introducing a ban on takeout after 10pm.
In local public transport, for now, it is not necessary to rethink about 80% of the capacity. And this despite the enormous danger of travel to or from heavily populated cities like Naples and Rome, which is clear to the government. That is why it is not excluded that at the regional level the governors may opt for a greater hardening. Meanwhile, the suggestion is to call on schools, offices and companies to stagger the entrances and exits to avoid dangerous traffic jams. And where it is already done, communicate it to the local authorities, because to date it has not been the case and this has prevented the transport companies from planning the offer, avoiding the overcrowding of the mez.day.
