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TRENTO. I respect the last weeks infections are declining in almost all regions (except Trentino and Veneto) but the Rt index, that is, the contagion rate of Sars-CoV-2 after the application of anti-Covid measures, Is growing. This is the synthetic photograph that arises from weekly report prepared by the Higher Institute of Health in collaboration with the Ministry of Health.
The RT that grows back is one of the elements that concerns us national health authorities, so much so that the president of the Higher Institute of Health Silvio Brusaferro defines it “a serious concerns elementtion, because it means that the transmission of the infection is recovering. It is also worrying where there is a scenario of moderate risk but with a probability of growth (this is the case of Trentino ed). It is evidently an item to pay special attention to and it will be important to be timely in the adoption of the measures “.
As specified by the ISS president, l’Rt is usually the first indicator to move, Followed by the case growth, then they come in quick succession hospitalizations in the medical area and intensive care which then affect the death curve. It would be interesting to understand because Trentino shows these last three indicators that are already very high. A possible explanation could be an underestimation of the RT, otherwise Trentino will have to prepare for a new wave of infections with all the consequences of the case.
“The figure that I want to point out – Brusaferro emphasizes – is the great commitment from the Regions, even those that had experienced delays or difficulties in data collection they are clearly improving ”. This shows that some critical problems have existed and continue to exist, albeit “improving”. As already mentioned, Trentino and Veneto are the only two areas where infections are increasing compared to the previous weeks. In the province of Trento but hospitalizations worry. In fact, according to projections in the space of a month the situation in Trentino will not improve and it will stay well above critical thresholds with the possibility of beds being saturated. “In many regions – says the president of the ISS – there is still overload, in other words, it is not possible to guarantee all the services required for health needs linked to other pathologies ”, Trentino is among them.
Usually the Trentino is classified among the Regions of moderate risk but high risk of progressionZion. There is also an alert reported in indicator 2.2 “Time between the date of appearance of symptoms and the date of diagnosis” which is one of the process indicators on the ability to diagnose, investigate and manage contacts. In other words there are problems tracing contacts. Finally, it was found that the Rt of Trentino is above the threshold value of 1, more precisely at 1.05 (with a minimum of 0.97 and a maximum of 1.13), among the most worrisome nationwide and above the Italian average at 0.86.
Rt index
Molise 1.16
Veneto 1.08
Trento 1.05
Lazio 1.04
Lombardy 1.02
Walk 0.97
Apulia 0.9
Emilia-Romagna 0.84
Sardinia 0.83
Abruzzo 0.82
Bolzano 0.81
Umbria 0.75
Calabria 0.74
Liguria 0.73
Sicily 0.72
Friuli Venezia Giulia 0.7
Piedmont 0.68
Tuscany 0.68
Basilicata 0.61
Campania 0.59
Aosta Valley 0.57
