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ROME – The dead still weigh too much, every day, otherwise the data that the Civil Protection has released today would be positive. Acute and decisive fall in patients, increase in the level of new cured infections (measured with the proportion of new positives to tampons) that has remained at least since the beginning of the epidemic.
The data in the new bulletin reports a sharp drop in hospitalized people. in intensive care meet today 2,936 people (the lowest number since March 21), 143 less than yesterday. I still am hospitalized with symptoms 26,893 people, 750 less than yesterday: it is the biggest daily fall since the beginning of the epidemic.
In the last twenty-four hours I am 525 people died (yesterday there were 578 victims), reaching a total of 22,170 deaths. the healed reach altitude 40164, for an increase of 2472 in 2,072 units (962 people were cured yesterday).
The rise of the sick. (i.e. currently positive people) was equal to 1189 units (1127 yesterday) while I new infections detected in the last 24 hours have been 3786 (yesterday 2667). However, these two data should be analyzed only taking into account the fact that they are closely related to the number of samples made. And today a record number has been made: 60,999 tampons (yesterday 43,715), the highest since the beginning of the emergency.
The ratio of swabs made to identified cases is 1 patient for every 16.1 swabs made, 6.2, at the same level as 6.1 and the second best value yesterday since the start of the epidemic. In recent days, this figure has averaged 8.6%.
The total number of people who have contracted the virus since the outbreak has been 168,941.
“As we have been seeing for a few days, we are on a downward trend, with the curves of the infected, hospitalized and deceased who, as we know, are behind schedule,” said the president of the Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Silvio Brusaferro. during the press point on Civil Protection.
Another cautionary call
Brusaferro then supplies the elements that lead to proceed with great care. “We know that with the variables from region to region, the number of patients is still limited compared to the population, more than 90% of Italians have not come into contact with the virus. This means that a large part of the population remains being susceptible. ” In order to have flock immunity, it would be necessary to have approximately 80% of the people who came into contact with the virus, therefore, the goal is far away. “A situation that leads to a consequence:” If we are not very careful and punctual By adopting the recommendations, circulation can be resumed more intensively, while today it is being facilitated thanks to the measures and the will of the Italians. “
Therefore, we need a “combination of measures that allows us to leave some active and eliminate others,” added the president of the ISS, a combination of measures ranging from close monitoring to the ability to quickly track down positive people. “
For his part, the head of Civil Protection, Angelo Borrelli, answers a question about the start of phase 2 and says he wants “to wait for the results of the evaluations that the working group led by Dr. Colao is doing to issue a judgment”.
Serological tests in progress.
Brusaferro also spoke about serological tests: “It is a slogan that accompanies us day after day. There are many products and the number is growing, and this is a very positive fact. We also know that they are recent and an accurate evaluation in terms of sensitivity and Specificity and its predictive value is not there, they are in the process of being finalized. It is an ongoing problem, today immunity licenses are difficult to grant, it is always necessary to add a buffer. This will evolve and we will acquire new knowledge. “
