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In Spain in the last 24 hours they were recorded 10,799 new coronavirus infections and 241 deaths. The death toll is the highest in what can be called the country’s “second wave”. While not all are from the last 24 hours and numbers have been added that were not previously counted, the progression concerns, despite being far from the sad record of 950 deaths in one day.
The alarming data
What is happening in Spain? The country has a notable increase in new positives also compared to countries like the US, India, Brazil (see CHART 1 below). In absolute numbers the fifth fastest growing state in the world (obviously also depends on individual days) and in terms of new cases per capita the second after Argentina and before Brazil.
GRAPH 1 – New daily cases in yellow and deaths in red (Source worldometers)
First wave and cases
The daily numbers of the first wave have practically been reached
(see GRAPH 2 below, with the new daily cases for February), although they are not comparable, given that (as is the case in Italy) now the monitoring systems identify many more people (even asymptomatic) than before and therefore that of those infected is closer to the true epidemiological spread of the disease.
GRAPH 2 – New daily cases (Source worldometers)
The dreaded consequence
The number of deaths is definitely below the first wave, as is the case in many other countries and as we can see in CHART 3 (below). They are worrying, however, not only because of the value of each life, but also – at the level of Covid crisis management – because they highlight what is an almost inevitable consequence of the increase in the number of positives: a virus that circulates in a generalized way in the population, sooner or later also affects weak subjects, causing a consequent increase in hospitalizations and, second, deaths.
FIGURE 3 – Daily deaths since February (source worldometers)
Intensive therapy
According to data published by the Spanish Ministry of Health, 9.6% of hospital beds are currently occupied by patients with coronavirus. 16.8% percent of ICU beds. In La Rioja they are 56.7% and in Madrid 36.3%. All other districts exceed 10%, taking into account that the percentage calculated is not with respect to the “basic” capacity that hospitals had before, but with respect to the expansions they have made to attend the health emergency. The virus moved among the younger sectors of the population in the summer. Then it gradually affected the other age groups, as it did in the rest of Europe. With the increase in infections in the age groups 20-29 and 30-39, the incidence among the elderly has also started to increase: over the weeks and with the steady increase in infections, all age groups are affected (we had talked who).
GRAPH 4 – new cases by age group (source FT-Ministry of Health of Spain)
Incidence by age groups
L‘evolution of the incidence rate by age group it can be clearly seen in the previous graph relative to Spain (GRAPH 4) and that dates back to September 17 (according to data from the Spanish Ministry of Health). The cases are new weekly (in relation to 100 thousand people), by age group. Soft colors represent low incidence, dark reds represent high incidence. The most marked increase (red) in incidence begins at week 30 in the range 15-29, but after 5 weeks all age groups have “adapted”, fortunately with some numerical differences, but in any case the virus reached the weakest. When intensive care units become saturated, authorities have no choice but to resort to restrictions. which is why even in Italy the Deputy Minister of Health, Pierpaolo Sileri, said he was “worried about family lunches”, because the infection runs the risk of reaching the elderly and therefore the weakest people. What happens in intensive care units, therefore, is a reflection of the progress of diagnoses. Although they are much more positive than in March – many are asymptomatic and a good number are mildly symptomatic -, as the number of detected cases increases, so does the number of people needing hospitalization or intensive care.
Madrid is the most affected city
Spain runs to take refuge, despite the protests of some sectors of the population against the new restrictions and some political problems. However, the incidence in Madrid is impressive and the worst: 746.2 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days. The average in Spain 287.7. Make a comparison in Germany of 24.9, in Italy 32.1, in the United Kingdom 69.1 and in France 182.9 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. In Madrid there was an obvious anomaly compared to the other Communities. In many of them there were serious problems, such as in Aragon or Catalonia, but there the decisions of partial or local confinement were made very quickly because the presidents of the Community paid attention to the advisers and technical teams, the newspaper writes. The country.
Reduced quarantine
In Madrid, Daz Ayuso, president of the Community, opted for what his team called “surgery” to try to save the economy: circulation was restricted in six districts of the capital and in six cities of the Community of Madrid. where they had registered more than 1,000 infections per 100,000 inhabitants. Therefore, it will be possible to leave the house only for very specific reasons, all the premises must close at 22, the restaurants and hotels will operate at 50 percent, while the tables must respect a distance of at least one and a half meters and not they will be able to sit down. more than six people in a group at a time. The executive is now pressuring Daz Ayuso to agree to impose stronger measures and, above all, to leave key decisions in the hands of the Minister of Health and his technicians. Despite the increase in deaths and cases from coronavirus, Spain has decided reduce quarantine from 14 to 10 days for those who have been in close contact with an infected person. However, nothing changes for those who test positive for Covid-19: the isolation period is maintained from 10 to 14 days depending on whether they are symptomatic or asymptomatic and depending on the Regions in which they are located, because in this area they can decide independently.
September 23, 2020 (modified on September 23, 2020 | 12:31)
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