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Since the end of July, Covid-19 cases have started to double at a faster rate: every 15 days., compared to the 30-40 registered during the confinement, and the curves of increases in cases and admissions to intensive care follow the same trend, although after about ten days: this is detected by the physicist Giorgio Sestili, founder and one of the curators of the Facebook page ‘Coronavirus: scientific data and analysis’, commenting on the epidemiological data on the new coronavirus pandemic.
“The numbers indicate an epidemiological trend that progressively worsens, with an increase that has already taken six weeks back-to-back where the numbers are up compared to the previous week, “Sestili said.” Calculations show that the doubling time is progressively decreasing and is currently around 15 days, compared to 30-40 days during the lockdown. At the beginning of the epidemic it was only five days. “
Another element that gives the sign that infections are growing again is the fact, Sestili continued, that “while hospitals were practically empty in August, for a few days, admissions to intensive care have been increasing, as well as deaths . We also know – he added – that the effects on intensive care hospitalizations are recorded on average ten days after infections and that the two curves follow the same trend ”.
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