Coronavirus, Ricciardi: “He underestimated that the pandemic has a second more dangerous wave”

The number of Covid-19 infections in Italy continues to rise. And the concern increases. “The historical fact that all pandemics have a second wave that is more dangerous than the first has been underestimated” and “compared to what awaits us, that is, enormous pressure with the arrival of the flu, it was necessary to strengthen the test system extending it to all “. the structures, both public and private that can do it, and then with the emergency rooms that in many cases have not yet made the differentiated routes ”, Walter Ricciardi, member of the executive committee of OMS and consultant, explains to Buongiorno, at Sky TG24 of the Minister of Health. “The relaxation that has been determined in everyone since the summer – Ricciardi continues – has caused a lowering of the guard. Now there are Regions that have been more or less prepared, and my concern is that this preparation is not yet suitable even more for when influence arrives, and there are other Regions that have found themselves more disadvantaged, that is, they have not increased the capacity for testing that was presumably necessary and was absolutely necessary ”.

Ricciardi specifies: “I do not want to blame the regions, I know that some presidents have resented my statements but I want to emphasize that in the face of a respiratory virus pandemic we must all work together and base decisions on scientific evidence,” he adds. ‘expert.

Meanwhile, the mandatory tampons have been taken for those arriving in Italy from Belgium, France, Holland, Great Britain and Northern Ireland, Czech Republic and Spain. The list was updated by the order signed on October 7 by the Minister of Health and published yesterday in the Official Gazette.

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Ricciardi: “In November we risked 16 thousand cases”

Grim contagion forecasts continue to arrive from Walter Ricciardi: “What has happened since June is a doubling of cases every month – he says – We had 200 cases, then 400, then 800, then 1600 and now we are in more than 4 thousand cases. So we run the risk in a month of having more than 8 thousand cases a day and in two months, when the flu arrives, have 16 thousand cases in one day. ”For Ricciardi, however, more closures must be avoided:” It is absolutely necessary to avoid the closure of the school, as well as a general closure. At this time there is no hypothesis of business or activity closure, we are only thinking about what are the possible activities “that foresee unjustified meetings about non-primary activities that may be limited in some way.

Quarantine hypothesis at 10 days

The hypothesis of reducing the quarantine from 14 to 10 days is also being studied: “We are thinking about it, based on the scientific evidence of this particular moment. The quarantine in our opinion can be reduced to ten days as it is done in Germany, with a swab instead of two swabs. It is something that we are recommending as scientific advisers to Minister Speranza and I hope the government will take it into consideration, “explains Ricciardi. The virus responsible for Covid-19” has not changed, except marginally. . Virulence and pathogenicity are the same as in the early days of the pandemic throughout the world. This is a very strong scientific evidence, which has been altered by some statements also from authorized colleagues, especially doctors who did not understand well that the patients they see, the numerator, do not correspond to the absolute truth but to an important input that must be related with the denominator of the population – says Walter Ricciardi – For the Organization World health care yesterday was the worst day both in terms of the number of infections and, unfortunately, of deaths ”.

There is a lot of concern and the situation in hospitals must be kept under control: “We cannot think that the virus will not convert, this is a very insidious virus that re-fills hospitals. We are not collapsing, however, but we are in a great situation The covid hospitals in Campania and Lazio – adds Ricciardi – are almost full and I am very concerned not so much about intensive care, which we are talking about, but about sub-intensive therapies because there are infectious patients who must be treated in a certain way. The way and places are already becoming saturated. And much less when the flu arrives, what will happen ”.

Bonaccini writes to Lamorgese: “More controls on the territories”

The president of the Emilia Romagna Region, Stefano Bonaccini, does not agree with Ricciardi on the fact that many regions would have “fallen asleep” on the front lines of the fight against Covid-19: “He has no institutional skills and I believe that have been misused. Yesterday the words of the Prime Minister and Ministers Boccia and Speranza made it clear: the role of the regions was indispensable. ”Between the Government and the Regions, Bonaccini insists,“ I see no other way than to work together and that’s why we ask for the control room. I think the Regions have been very responsible in recent months. “

Stefano Bonaccini does not rule out other restrictions, “targeted interventions” to stop the second wave of infections. And meanwhile he writes to the Minister of the Interior, Luciana Lamorgese, so that “in the territories the activation of controls by the police is also guaranteed. It is evident that the many measures we take must also have a form of control to avoid”. stop everything. “The issue of public transport, which today travels at 80% of its capacity, recalls the governor and president of the Conference of the Regions,” is back in the news because we have sacrosanctly decided to reopen schools in this country. “But now “We have to do things right, be prepared for some restrictions if necessary and the best thing is to ask people to behave appropriately. We are still in the middle of the fight against this pandemic, although we have learned to fight it better. “Before introducing new limits, in short, it is necessary to enforce those that already exist.

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Boccia: “No closure between regions, but interventions if necessary”

At the moment the Minister of Regional Affairs Francesco Boccia excludes closures between Regions: “Not excluding interventions in the event of increased infections does not mean closure, but being prepared for any intervention. Let’s avoid generating concerns. The absolute priority for the Government and for the Regions is to defend work and school. Today the networks The regional health services work well for the joint work of daily strengthening that is carried out between the State and the Regions. In these days we will convene the control room with President Bonaccini to take stock of the proposals of the Regions established yesterday at the State-Regions conference ”.