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L ‘Rt index go up again. In its usual weekly monitoring, the Higher Institute of Health puts on paper what has been worrying experts for days, so much that the Government has launched a new squeeze for the holidays: in the period from November 25 to December 8, coinciding with ‘get out of Red zone In Regions such as Piedmont and Lombardy and the start of Christmas shopping, the virus transmission rate has gone from 0.82 to 0.86 at the national level. The ISS observes “for the first time a counter trend sign“, Mainly due to three areas where the index is” significantly “higher than 1: this is Lazio, Lombardy me Veneto. Why is it so important? “The RT is the first to move, then it is followed by the increase in infections, hospitalizations and eventually deaths”, clarifies the president. Silvio Brusaferro at a press conference. “And even if the increase is minimal, it is an element of serious concern“, That’s why” you have to be timely in the adoption of measures “.
Regarding the Regions, taking into account all the evaluation parameters, three are considered “high risk“: Is about Lazio, Liguria me Veneto. Thirteen are classified as moderate risk, of which 2 (Marche and Trento province) have a high probability of progressing to high risk in the next month if current transmissibility remains unchanged, while five are classified as low risk. Usually Ironbrush explains that in the curve at the national level we notice ” Slow down and a flattening. “
Therefore, the Institute’s technicians warn that the situation “does not allow a relaxation of the measures adopted in recent weeks and even requires a reinforcement of the same in some areas of the country. “Especially in view of the vacation season, when “you increase them mobility me interpersonal interaction typical of sociability this season could determine a significant increase in the transmission of Sars-Cov2 ″. The risk of ISS, says the monitoring, is that, therefore, there is a “rapid increase in cases to levels potentially superior compared to what was observed in November in a context in which the impact of the epidemic on health workers, services and the population is still very high ”.
Although the number of people hospitalized in intensive care and in the medical area, in fact, the pressure on hospitals remains above alarm thresholds. Brusaferro speaks of “the decrease is slowWhile Rezza explains that “today’s data indicate that we are in a situation of stability and stabilization and we cannot go below a certain threshold. It also seems that the new ICU admissions are stable and this makes us think that it will be a bit difficult to do decrease overload in intensive care unless the incidence is reduced. “It is precisely the data on the incidence that arouses concern among the experts:” Although there has been a decrease in the incidence at the national level in the last 14 days, from 454.70 per 100 thousand inhabitants in the period November 23-December 6 to 374.81 per 100 thousand in the next two weeks ”, the report reads, the value is“ still far from levels that would allow to completely reestablish the identification of cases throughout the national territory and tracking your contacts. This approach showed i first signs of criticality when the national value has exceeded 50 cases per 100,000 in seven days. This means that, with the current number of infections, tracking positive people and suspected cases is still very difficult. And it could be even more if vacation arrangements are not made.
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