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Confirm a increase in new cases reported in Italy for the seventh consecutive week with an incidence in the last 14 days (period 31 / 8-13 / 9) of 29.63 per 100,000 inhabitants.Is a more contained trend than that observed in other European countries, with 2,397 active outbreaks (+117) in almost all provinces (101/107) and all regions reported at least one new outbreak in the follow-up week. The national Rt index (here the explanation of how it is calculated and what it means) equal to 0.92 (calculated in the period between August 27 and September 9, 2020), but could be underestimated. The virus is circulating throughout the country. To draft it, in the weekly monitoring, corresponding to the period between September 7 and 13, the Ministry of Health and the Higher Institute of Health.
In most cases (81.9%) the infection continues to be contracted in the national territory, with a decrease in imported cases from abroad (10.8% of new cases diagnosed in the follow-up week).
However, for three weeks we have witnessed a new epidemiological change. The signs detected last week of increased transmission in the home / family environment with circulation of the virus even among older people are confirmed. in fact still the average age of diagnosed cases is increasing (41 years at follow-up week) ed 35% of new cases diagnosed in the follow-up week has over 50 years.
Transmission dynamics remain extremely fluid: they continue to be observed outbreaks associated with recreational activities (no change compared to the last week of follow-up) with a further increase in transmission in the family / domestic environment (73.6% of all active outbreaks in the week of follow-up for which the context of probable exposure indicated it ). Particular precautions are recommended to protect the most fragile people (the elderly, people with pre-existing illnesses) in the family.
However, you must interpret the national transmission rate with caution at this particular point in the epidemic. Indeed, Rt calculated in symptomatic casesAlthough it is still the most reliable indicator at the regional level and comparable in time to monitor transmissibility, could slightly underestimate the true transmission of the virus nationwide. Therefore, the national TR must always be interpreted taking into account the incidence figure.
Here you will find the cases of contagion today, here under the regional Rt indicated in the weekly follow-up:
Emilia-Romagna: 0.71
Friuli-Venezia Giulia: 1.11
Calabria: 1.07
Campania: 0.71
Abruzzo: 0.86
Basilicata: 0.92
Straight: 0.54
Liguria: 1.32
Walk: 0.85
Molise: 0.75
Bolzano: 0.99
Trento: 1.59
Piedmont: 0.69
Apulia: 1.13
Sardinia: 0.88
Aosta Valley: 0.61
Umbria: 0.85
Sicily: 1.08
Tuscany: 0.91
Veneto: 0.88
Lombardy: 0.74
September 18, 2020 (change September 18, 2020 | 18:58)
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