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TRENTO. “My most sense thanks go to the mayors of municipalities who informed their citizens about the real state of the pandemic in Trentino during the month of November “. The last one opens with this thanks Blog from the former rector of the University of Trento Davide bassi that analyzes the evolution of the epidemic. “Even if the autonomous province of Trento has been forced to disclose full data on Sars-CoV-2 infections for about ten days, They have not told us what happened last November “, says the former rector. In fact also The Dolomites has made this request several times, for now, without receiving any clarification.
“A Dante Square – accuses Bassi, pointing a finger at the provincial leaders – the mouths are sewn and despite the presence of many press articles dedicated to the subject, which have also appeared at the national level, the line seems to be denying the evidence, also thanks to the deafening silence of the Ministry of Health and the Higher Institute of Health ”. Now, however, the former rector, thanks to the collaboration of the mayors who have released the complete data, has prepared a graphic dedicated to the capital allowing us to better understand the evolution of the pandemic. Although the surveys carried out in Trento are not necessarily extended to the entire provincial territory, the data collected continues to represent an important tool to get an idea of the real extent of the infection.
The data collected by the former rector show (umpteenth) the discrepancy between the positives reported by the Province and the “reals” arising from the data reported by the auditors. “Data – explains Bassi – that lthe Province had to communicate by law because they were referring to currently positive people who have been quarantined ”. Taking into account the municipality of Trento, we observe that even today there is a great difference between “real” positive people and those certified by official data.
“In the graph you can see how November 9 first day for which data is available, there was already a noticeable difference between the provincial data and the true data. Up to the second ten days of November the two curves show a divergent trend, with the provincial data slowly decreasing, while the real data registered a strong increase. At the moment of maximum divergence – says the former rector – the actual number of currently positive residents in the municipality of Trento was more than 6 times the official number “.
Latest November 25 the Trento City Council begins to publish on its website the data of the infections in its possession, also indicating the distribution by age group and by district. “About the same time there is a strong trend reversal – emphasizes Bassi – the separation between provincial and real data diminishes rapidly ”. Basically, the difference between the positives identified with the molecular buffer and the antigen positives decreases. “Note the paradox: from the end of November onwards, the true positives are currently falling dramatically, while the official ones, reported by Pat, show slight growth. “
Add to this the incredible “turnaround” of the president of the province Maurizio Fugatti that during the press conference yesterday, December 12, in fact, he was wrong. Fugatti, no more than a month ago, stated that “in the vast majority of cases an antigenic swab, after 10-14 days, is followed by a molecular swab “, then yesterday’s denial, with President Pat explaining: “The molecular must be done before the tenth day.” One of the two, because it’s quite different do a control swab no later than the 10th day, to confirm positivity (which will later be reported in official counts), or do so after 10 days when the subject may even have become negative due to the natural course of the disease. In other words, provincial leaders have a lot to explain about how the pandemic data was handled.
