Contagions slow down, target Rt below 1

Published on: 11/15/2020 9:08 AM

The contagion curve registers the first “braking”. This is the element that emerges – in a day in which 37,255 cases of new coronavirus were made out of the 227,695 tampons made – in the conference held by Franco Locatelli, president of the Higher Health Council, by Silvio Brusaferro, president of the Higher Institute of health, and by Gianni Rezza, director of the Department of Prevention of the Ministry of Health.

“We have a downward trend in Rt, which this week’s estimate is 1.4” from the previous 1.7. “This means a trend towards a decrease in the transmission of the infection in the country. This is the earliest indicator we have,” he said. Gianni rezza, General Director of Prevention of the Ministry of Health, in a press conference in the dicastery on the analysis of the situation of the Covid-19 epidemic in Italy. However, “intensive care admissions” for Covid-19 in Italy have “increased significantly” in recent weeks, Rezza recalled. A figure that, however, he specified, refers to the days until November 8. Subsequently, the image improved and “yesterday (Friday, editor’s note) – then underlined Franco Locatelli, President of the Higher Health Council – it was the fourth consecutive day that there was a decrease in the number of accesses to intensive care. Yesterday (Friday, ed) we were tied at 60 “.

“There is an effect of the measures adopted with the different Dpcm”, Locatelli emphasized later. But “the goal is to bring the RT below 1 as quickly as possible,” said the president of the Higher Institute of Health. Silvio Brusaferro. “The epidemic in Italy shows a first early sign of the impact of the mitigation measures implemented since October 14. It is necessary to monitor the trend and maintain a great awareness of the current risk, which is high in almost all Italian regions. From the RT point of view, there was a slight decrease and most of the regions are located in scenario 3, with the lower limit of Rt between 1.25 and 1.5. Some regions reached scenario 4 – said the expert – It is essential to reduce transmission and the number of new cases. It is hoped that this will be done as quickly as possible, a slow decrease in RT would in any case mean a very high number of cases and therefore a number of cases that would put stress on the health services ” .