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The new dpcm with the measures to attend the health emergency will arrive this afternoon. The Undersecretary of Health Sandra Zampa announced that a rigid confinement will not be arranged, but a confinement similar to the German one: “The attempt is not to paralyze the country, I want to be clear. It will not be a rigid confinement, but similar to the German model. light “.
It will not only be the RT that will determine the closure of the Regions, but also the number of beds in hospitals, the saturation of intensive care units, the number of tampons made will be counted. Parameters identified in the 136-page document, ‘Prevention and response to Covid19’, prepared by Iss and the Ministry of Health and shared at the Conference of the Regions on October 15. As Prime Minister Conte explained yesterday, the measures in force throughout the national territory will therefore be accompanied by closures at the local level in those areas considered at risk. Because today, said the Prime Minister, “an indistinct restrictive regime would have a double negative result”: on the one hand, it would not allow effective measures to be taken in territories where infections are out of control and it would impose measures that are too severe where they are not necessary. Italy will be divided into three zones: based on well-defined criteria, elaborated by the Technical-Scientific Committee, an automatic mechanism is activated that leads to certain measures. In case of inaction of the Regions, the government will intervene.
The three bands will be divided as follows: the first contains the Regions considered “higher risk”, those in which the situation presents the characteristics of ‘scenario 4’ of the document prepared by the ISS, that is, Rt above 1.5 and an “uncontrolled transmissibility” of Covid. With the data known to date, Piedmont and Lombardy would be at high risk, both with Rt above 2, followed by Calabria and Puglia. But the situation is constantly updated, and updated monitoring data will be available in the next few hours, and on this basis it will be decided how to group the Regions.
In the first band they will be arranged local closures at the provincial level for at least 3 weeks, limitation of individual mobility, and also the closure of the entire Region with the exception of essential activities, if necessary. All territories in which the risk factor is compatible with ‘scenario 3’ fall in the second band: Rt between 1.25 and 1.5 and “sustained and generalized transmissibility with health system risks in the medium term “. In this case we act with less harsh interventions, such as closure of activities, limitations to mobility in municipalities and provinces, closure of schools and universities based on the epidemiological situation. In the last band, the third includes all the Regions that have a risk index compatible with ‘scenario 2’, therefore the Rt between 1 and 1.25. According to the latest available tracking, only Basilicata would be included in this band at present.
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