“Close restaurants, cinemas and gyms”: all foreseen in ‘Scenario 3’ of the anti-Covid plan of 20 days ago. And the Regions knew it

The “scientific basis” on which the latter was written. Dpcm were also known to those who, like the Regions, on Saturday tried to widen the shirts of the measurements planned to try to stop the contagion of SARS-CoV-2. All measurable measures according to a worsening of epidemiological picture – case by case and step by step – it had been extensively discussed and organized report of “complementary in-depth analysis” to the “general documents already made public”, available for two weeks.

The ministry circular – And the October 10th when the General Director of Prevention of the Ministry of Health, Giovanni rezza, and the Director General of Health Planning, Andrea Urbani, sign the shipment of the 115 pages in which all possible reactions depending on the progress of the contagion in the last months of 2020 and the beginning of next year: “The document ‘Prevention and response to Covid-19: evolution of the strategy and planning in the transition phase for the autumn-winter period’, prepared by the Ministry of Health ofHigher Institute of Health, since Coordination of the Regions and Autonomous Provinces “.

The document “prepared” also by the Regions – The document lands, among others, in everyone’s mailboxes regional health advisers two days later, the October 12 °. Maybe printed and left in a drawer and not shared with him governors, judging by the reaction of the Regions when on Saturday the Prime Minister appeared before them with the Dpcm which provided for the new restrictions. However, the phase that Italy is in today is easily understood from the slides in the archive and what measurements should correspond to each. script in that document it is made explicit almost in the smallest details. In short, it is difficult to argue that the Regions did not know what measures were being implemented, since the report, as Rezza and Urbani recalled, had been shared with the representatives of the Regions.

The “Scenario 3” – The data of the last weeks have led the country to what the document defines “Scenario 3”, that is, a “situation of sustained transmissibility and spread with sealing risks of the sanitary system medium term ”, with a risk classification “High / Very high”. Translated: “Values ​​of Rt regionali mainly and significantly between Rt = 1.25 and Rt = 1.5 “. A phase in which it is possible to “limit only modestly the transmission potential of SARS-CoV-2 with measures of containment-mitigation ordinary and extraordinary, “there is the” lack of ability to track transmission chains “ and “initial signs” of “overload.” wellness services after the increase in cases of high clinical severity “with the consequent” increase in employment rates Gods Beds hospital, “the document reads.” The growth in the number of cases could result in a overload care services within 2-3 months “, is the notice. Some regions, among other things, are already in “Scenario 4”, worst.

Specific measures to evaluate – Against this background, which has been declining over the months October me November in which the incidence ofseasonal flu is evaluated as respectively “Low” me “Moderate”, for the chapters on the “community” me “School and university” the document asks to evaluate interventions that guarantee “Physical distancing” and cites, as examples, the “closing of discos, bars, restaurants “, with a specification: “Initially, potentially only in specific times, example the Late night to avoid the ‘move’“And the table summarizes:” Interruption sociocultural-sports activities most at risk of meetings. “The application was what is now known: cinemas, theaters, restaurants, bars and basic sports. Not only that, among the measures the “Closure of schools / universities” by “class, plexus, on a geographic basis based on the epidemiological situation.” More in detail: “Possibility of activating, to guarantee the interpersonal distancing and the prevention of meetings, for students of the Second grade secondary Ycollege, part of the lessons with distance education, according to the specific local situation of the viral circulation ”. Still: “Mobility restrictions” as well as the possible “restoration of agile work in specific areas. ” package which corresponds approximately to what the last Dpcm deployed, against which the Regions protested asking for less gentle measures and that Italy Long Live objected, questioning the “Scientific basis”.

Conte: “We follow the instructions” – Therefore, talking to him time to ask to Camera, the first Minister Giuseppe Conte explained only three days later what led to the election: “We have a type 3 scenario. The study foresees possibilities of interruption of some activities particularly risk, even for hours, possibility of staggered lessons for school, increased smart work to decongest transport. The government complied with these measures by adopting the Dpcm ”, the text that Conte added was sent to Scientific technical committee that “I shared measurements inserted in the text. “Measures that follow largely when contained in the document already shared in the previous and ‘mid’ weeks also on the basis of a trend of rapid and sudden growth, while moving towards winter period, considered the most delicate also due to the “interference” of seasonal flu. Hoping the “proportionate” feedback is sufficient.

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