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Rome, November 19, 2020 – Analysis of the Gimbe Foundation about him Coronavirus in Italy in the week of November 11-17. Experts stress that there is a first slowdown in the growth of Covid infections, but the increase in deaths is still exponential, increasing by 41.7%: in fact they were 4,134 compared to 2,918 the previous week. The follow-up shows that “this increase is destined to increase in the coming weeks, because the effect of the measures reduces first the rates of infection, then hospitalizations and intensive care, and only finally deaths.” In the week in question we see a stabilization of the increase in new cases, which are 242,609 compared to 235,634 (+ 24.4%) the previous week, compared to a slight reduction of tampons (854,626 compared to 872,026, or -2%). In the hospital setting, there is a further increase in hospitalized in the ward (33,074 vs. 28,633, + 15.5%) and in intensive care (3,612 vs. 2,971, + 21.6%).
Coronavirus, the newsletter for November 19
The warning about Christmas
“Containment measures – explains President Gimbe Nino Cartabellotta – have not flattened the contagion curve, which continues to increase, although at a slower rate, similar to that of hospitalized patients and intensive care. Contagion, in essence, is like a car that, after accelerating the race for weeks, now travels at a very high but constant speed ”. In fact, if in the last week the percentage of increase in new cases went from 31% to 24.4%, however, they increased by 242,609 units compared to the previous week. The result is that Covid patients “are progressively ‘cannibalizing’ beds in other wards,” limiting the ability to help patients with other diseases. this scenario, he concludes, “to hypothesize a relaxation of the measures with the aim of save christmas, you probably have very serious consequences, in terms of human lives. “Yesterday Agostino Miozzo, coordinator of the interim technical scientific committee at Porta a Porta, said that after the December 4th “Stores and restaurants will probably be able to return to a semi-normal situation if they respect those rules. It will be almost normal, not free everything.”
Yellow, orange and red regions: summit with the Government on the parameters
Focus on Puglia
From November 11 to 17, in Apulia new coronavirus infections are increased by 32.7%, above the national average of 24.4% and the positive / swab ratio increased to 26.1% (Italian average of 28.4%), so that one in four tests is positive. Gimbe reports that as of November 17, there are currently 660 positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants, but the worrying thing is the occupation of hospital beds: in intensive care, 41% of the places are occupied by Covid patients; in the rest of the medical departments, the employment rate is 43%, well above the “critical” threshold of 30% established by the Ministry of Health.
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