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Last Friday the epidemiological update of the ISS, the Higher Institute of Health, provided a detailed scenario, region by region (much more relevant than the newspaper infection bulletin), of the Coronavirurs transmissibility index (the famous “Rt”) and judged the Campania at “moderate risk“Today, November 2, in anticipation of the new Dpcm with territorial closures, Campania will not be formally part of the areas to be closed. But are we sure this is the case?
On Saturday, October 31, there was another meeting of the national health authorities. As Fanpage.it has already said, the 40 pages of the Iss dossier opened on the regional sheet do not reassure, on the contrary: “Campania: moderate with high probability of progression Region in which the delay in notification makes the trend of cases in the flow of ISS not completely reliable and, therefore, Rt».
What does that mean ? That the contagion data in Campania are “probably underestimated due to incomplete data“. Therefore, our region could find itself in a more complex and serious scenario, towards Area 3 as the regions for which closures are discussed. The mechanism of the new Conte dpcm is fluid– Regions based on your data based on the severity of infections can fall into three different areas with increasingly restrictive rules.
The Crisis Unit of the Campania Region, according to Fanpage.it, is awaiting the conclusion of the prime minister’s communications Giuseppe Conte in the House and Senate, and the next ministerial-regional meetings scheduled for today to establish the principles on which the new Presidency Decree of the Council of Ministers will govern. Today no meetings are scheduled, even if the UCR, by definition, is always on alert. Updated data on infections in Campania have been communicated to the national health institutions.
Campania, therefore, would not escape greater restrictive measures given the number of outbreaks and the progression of infections day by day though I wouldn’t be on stage 4 right now (the most severe, of uncontrolled transmissibility with criticalities in the health system in the short term). The situation is ongoing and updates are done every hour. As evidence of the great attention and apprehension of the population, the overcrowding (although not at alarm levels) of supermarkets on weekends and the shortage in many pharmacies of some products, broad-spectrum antibiotics and cortisone, used in the treatment of first symptoms of Covid. Then there is a political aspect: the president of the Campania Region Vincenzo De Luca he opposes territorial solutions, as he said yesterday, during the meeting with the ministers. Even if the decision will never be up to him.
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