Brusaferro (Iss): «Measures are planned in 4 regions. Rt grows slower but intensive care is alarming “

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If on the one hand the Rt index, the contagion rate is growing more slowly, on the other the resilience curve, which is the impact of the Coronavirus epidemic on health services, is increasing and we are approaching critical thresholds, in relation to the need to respond to health needs. Intensive care and medical admissions, in particular, show a rapidly growing curve near critical thresholds. This is the scenario proposed by Silvio Brusaferro, president of the Higher Institute of Health. The opportunity was provided by the press conference on the analysis of the regional monitoring data on the Coronavirus health emergency carried out by the control room (Dm April 30, 2020), in which, in addition to Brusaferro, and the president of the Superior Council of Healthcare, Franco Locatelli.

“On the basis of the latest monitoring – observed Brusaferro – there are 4 regions that are heading towards high risk and in which the most restrictive measures should be anticipated.” Previously, it was noted that 2 regions have a bed occupancy greater than 30%, from 2 to 29%. “In some regions – said Brusaferro – the critical threshold for hospital employment has been exceeded and there is a high probability throughout Italy of saturation in one month for intensive care. Then – he continued – there is an alert and we cannot afford to take the situation lightly ».

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Analysis for Campania is ongoing

Since the press conference there were no indications about the hypothesis of placing Campania in a different area from the current one (the yellow one). “We believe that the Campania data is valid, but in-depth studies are being carried out to capture aspects that could complete an analysis that is underway,” Brusaferro said.

Rt slows down but must be reported in one

“In Italy, the number of new cases per 100,000 people is high, 523, and the occupancy of beds in intensive care units is growing rapidly towards critical thresholds with many regions beyond this threshold and an impact on hospitalizations for other diseases, “he said. Ironbrusher explained again. Italy “is a country in scenario 3, we are at a Rt of 1.7, with a confidence interval of 1.5”. A RT that “has shown a slowdown in its growth but to reduce the cases we must bring the RT below 1”. All regions are above Rt 1, in some cases 2, recalled the president of the Higher Institute of Health. “We cannot afford distractions, we cannot afford to take the situation lightly.”

Locatelli: Rt stable, there is deceleration

“There is a deceleration of the Rt parameter thanks to the measures that have been implemented in the different Dpcm”, confirmed Locatelli. “Seeing a stable Rt is something that should be interpreted in a positive sense. We expect the outlook to improve even more in the coming days.