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Weather: AUTUMN, October and November alarm DROUGHT or excessive RAIN? Here is the UPDATE from the EUROPEAN CENTER
Fall: here are the latest updatesClimate projections have just come out on the expected weather during the next Fall. Ad October me November I will be back rains also excessive Or will we face two dry months with the alarm of the much dreaded drought?
Let’s find out the latest one right away TO UPDATE of the EUROPEAN CENTER in view of the next few months.
Let’s start by saying that atmospheric disruption is taking place around the world with repercussions on ocean currents and pressure fields: we are talking about La Niña phenomenon. It is basically about a temperature cooling surface waters of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean that frequently influences the weather of our Planet, with different reflections also in Europe and in Italy.
Which one therefore could be the consequences about the weather in Europe and Italy in the coming months?
It is conceivable that a return of the Girl can increase theEntry of numerous disturbances that descend from the Atlantic., which would not find any obstacle in the face of high pressure that could instead take refuge in North Africa. Between the end of September and the beginning of October, if this is confirmed, we expect a period quite rainy in the sector North-central Europe, with effects also in the northern regions of our country.
It must be said that this time of year is often quite delicate why strong contrasts that are created between completely different air masses: the last one heats up on the one hand and the first cold charge downhill from northern Europe on the other.
the surface water temperatures of our seas that could provide the necessary energy for the development of imposing storm cells whose forecast is only possible in broad terms (and the European Center confirms it), while for the details it will be necessary to arrive a few days after the event.
RAIN – At risk will be especially the Center-North and the chronicle of recent past unfortunately it is rich in flash flood events capable of provoking brakes, flood and strong temporary.
A different little speech for him South where, on the contrary, only in conjunction with the Girl, long periods of Drought, with almost total absence of rain, due to the protective shield offered by persistence of high pressure.
TEMPERATURE – The data that surprises us the most and that leaves us speechless (but to a certain extent, if we only think about the last few years), taking a look at seasonal maps, is relative to temperature I waited between October me November: we will most likely have to deal with deviations greater than approx. 1 ° C compared to historical averages, in much of Italy. That is why we do not exclude the possibility of experiencing the classics “October“, or those periods of atmospheric stability that traditionally occur in the middle of the month of October, characterized by a mostly sunny weather and, above all, of a particularly benign climate, especially at South.
Autumn 2020: temperatures above average up to + 1 ° C
Cooler-than-normal Pacific Ocean surface waters: La Niña is on its way
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