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What is needed now is a plan B. Giuseppe Conte may have it, but he doesn’t want to reveal it so as not to give his opponents an advantage. You cannot imagine that, a few days after Christmas, with the pandemic at the neck and Italy in quarantine, we are here to think about the fall of the government, which is more and more probable and close. They will not say for now that it is a real crisis, but a reorganization, a more or less deep cut. It is that when you touch certain balances, already structurally unstable, you never know what will happen and where it will end. The short future on the horizon, which does not exceed a week, could open, only that it remains uncertain and without a project. The dying government is sailing into view even afterward.
The protagonist of the day is Ettore Rosato. He is the coordinator of Italia viva. In short, he is Matteo Renzi’s current henchman. It is he who assumes the responsibility of ringing the bell. He talks to Sky Tg24 and says: «For us it ends here. There is no longer trust between the majority and the prime minister. Conte wasted it. It has to be rebuilt ». At one point these things were clarified in Parliament, with the vote of a law, a provision, an agenda. I take away your confidence and I make you fall. Now everything happens outside. All this does not make things easier.
What happens then? Conte, first of all, he will really have to fall first. In theory he should take note of the words of Rosato, in this case the spokesman for a majority party, and resign. As it happened with Salvini in the summer of Papeete. At that moment the big problem opens. The idea of going to the election in the middle of the storm is the last resort. President Mattarella did not rule it out, but first we will try to put the pieces back together. Here different scenarios open.
Conte’s plan B could be Count number three. If anyone thinks this is a surreal hypothesis, they underestimate the Byzantine fantasy of Italian politics. They are really thinking about it. They still don’t know how to renovate the building and if they will find the right place, but a small project is already circulating. They called it the government of the big shots. Premier count, but weakened. At his side as deputy Luigi Di Maio and a prominent member of the Democratic Party. The names of Deputy Secretary Andrea Orlando (who nevertheless continues to say that if the government falls, they will vote) or Dario Franceschini, current Minister of Cultural Heritage and Tourism, are mentioned. Zingaretti, on the other hand, would feel comfortable ruling Lazio. That is their fiefdom and in the end it suits us.
And Renzi? Renzi looks in the mirror and wonders. A voice prompts him to sit in the chancellor’s chair, a prestigious role to return to the game. They say that Matteo is a bit like Jep Gambardella: he not only wants to participate in governments, he wants to have the power to make them fail. It is not certain that he is satisfied with the chancellery. Unless the prime minister is Di Maio. The two have been in great harmony for some time. The grillino, Salvini’s orphan, could make a bench with the other Matteo, but this time from the Palazzo Chigi. This scenario, however, is too bizarre and humiliating, even for the Democratic Party. Franceschini, the only one really waiting for Conte’s chair, already has his finger ready to erase it.
Let’s start again. The Accountant is the starting point of the great negotiation. Why should the above ombudsman accept? Because the important thing is to sit down and it doesn’t matter how. It is his political philosophy. Better him than Draghi.
Here, Draghi. Draghi is the last frontier before the vote. It will not be easy to convince him. The guarantees you asked for will not arrive. It is not crazy enough to start governing with a majority that in the middle of a tragedy takes the stage with the same old farce. Don’t do the wave.
