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Calabria is still up for grabs, but should eventually keep the orange zone. The new data from the monitoring booth with the region was attested. again at risk of the red zone due to the increase in cases, the incidence and number of occupied beds. Values, which according to the new monitoring, continue to increase and worsen. The Rt index of the last week passes gives 1.36 to 1.37 (range 1.25 – 1.51) and has a value, at the lower limit, greater than 1.25 and compatible with one scenario type 3.
Still a moderate risk region but, like last week, the alert remains high probability of progressing to high risk. Lthe incidence in one week rose to 116 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (132 cases at 14 days) but remains well below 250 and the threshold limit remains attentive of beds occupied, which still rises especially in the medical area. However, the impact remains low, while it is there. an alert on the resilience of local health services, particularly in the province of Cosenza and the rise of the floodlights. Now it will be up to Minister Speranza, based on the new data and communications from the control room, to establish whether Calabria will continue in the orange zone like last week, given that the threshold of 1.25 with which one enters the highest risk range has not been exceeded in the minimum range.
“There is a reduction in transmissibility with Rt in Italy that fell to 1.08 (was 1.16) “But that is still above 1 and this means that the virus tends to spread anyway. Therefore, we must maintain the measures “, said the president of the Higher Institute of Health, Silvio Brusaferro at the press conference on the analysis of the data from the Regional Monitoring of the Control Room organized by the Ministry of Health, recalling the need to maintain austerity measures even in the presence of a decline in the index. “In addition,” I Incidence data, transmissibility and the great overload of hospital services require maintaining a strict national mitigation measures accompanied by timely mitigation / containment interventions in the areas of greatest diffusion “, said Brusaferro who later reiterated” also in light of sustained increase in the prevalence of some viral variants, to maintain the drastic reduction of physical interactions and mobility ”. The average age of those who contract the infection is between 40 and 50 years, a constant data, but we started to see a decrease in cases, even among health professionals therefore it represents a positive event due to vaccination ”, he concluded.
In Italy the RT drops. Slight decrease in incidence
The Rt index in Italy has dropped slightly to 1.08. The new data comes from monitoring the control room of the Ministry of Health-Iss, which met today like every Friday to take stock of the colors of the Regions. The RT had been stable at 1.16 for two weeks.. The weekly incidence also fell, slightly below the critical threshold of 250 weekly cases per 100,000 inhabitants. According to the weekly monitoring, in the period between March 15 and 21, after several weeks of increase, and records an initial decrease in incidence Compared with the previous week (240.3 per 100,000 inhabitants (03/15 / 2021-21 / 03/2021) versus 250.0 per 100,000 inhabitants (03/08 / 2021-14 / 03/2021), flow of data Iss. L ‘the incidence, however, remains high and is still far from the levels (50 per 100,000) which would allow to fully reestablish the identification of cases and the tracing of their contacts throughout the national territory.
In general it is observed an overall improvement in the risk associated with spreading the virus, although in general it is still high. Five regions (Friuli Venezia-Giulia, Lazio, Piedmont, Puglia and Tuscany) have a high level of risk. Thirteen Regions / ASFs have a moderate risk rating (of which ten have a high probability of progressing to high risk in the next few weeks) and three have a low risk rating (Basilicata, Campania and the autonomous province of Bolzano).
Intensive care and hospitalizations continue to rise
The number of Regions / HAPPs that have a employment rate in intensive care and / or medical areas above the critical threshold: 12 vs. 13 the week before. THEThe Nationwide Intensive Care Employment Rate Is Increasing Overall And Above The Critical Threshold (39% compared to 36% percent last week. The number of people admitted to intensive care continues to increase from 3,256 on March 16 to 3,546 on March 23 The employment rate in medical areas across the country is also increasing and above the critical threshold (43% overall) with a sharp increase in the number of people hospitalized in these areas: from 26,098 people on March 16 to 28,428 on March 23.
According to the report on the weekly monitoring of the control room of the Ministry of Health and the Higher Institute of Health, thirteen Regions / PPAA have a punctual Rt greater than one. Among these, a Region (Valle d’Aosta) has an Rt with a lower limit greater than 1.5 compatible with a type 4 scenario, and athe other (Calabria) has an Rt with a lower limit higher than 1.25, compatible with a type 3 scenario. Eight Regions have an Rt at the lower limit compatible with a type 2 scenario. The other Regions / HAPPs have an Rt compatible with a type one scenario.
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