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Rome, February 19, 2021 – Like every Friday, Italy continues to hold on Covid data from the ISS, who will decide the following colors – yellow, orange or red – of each region, with the consequent guidelines of conduct. And given the tracking data from the ISS, the first indications emerge from the control room that met this morning: Molise, Campania and Emilia Romagna they would pass in the area Orange. Bolzano and Umbria they should become Red (although they were practically already with regional ordinances). We now await the evaluation, and relative ordinances, by the Minister Speranza.
In short, since Sunday half of Italy risks orange change color in the negative direction. The only positive note, that of Val d’Aosta, which would have the numbers as the first white region. The exasperation of Italians tired of closures is mounting, but the data is clear: the national positivity rate it rises to 4.8% and the bleeding of the victims does not stop. Also in the government, of course, the center of attention is on the pandemic: the prime minister Mario draghi in the afternoon he participates in the meeting of G7 on the Coronavirus emergency.
Monitoring problem
The incidence of Covid-19 at the national level is increasing: 135.46 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the week of February 8 to 14 compared to 133.13 per 100,000 in the week of February 1 to 7, “far from the levels (50 per 100,000) that would allow the complete reestablishment of the identification of cases and the tracing of their contacts throughout the national territory ”.
In the period from January 27 to February 9, l’Rt medium calculated on symptomatic cases was equal to 0.99 (range 0.95 – 1.07), above the previous week and with an upper limit that includes one. This is one of the main data of the epidemic that emerged from the weekly monitoring of the ISS, according to a note from the same Institute.
Four days ago at most the Higher Institute of Health issued the warning: “It is necessary strengthen measures due to the English variant “.
High, moderate and low risk regions
I’m 10 the Regions and the Autonomous Provinces that have a point Rt greater than 1, of which 9 also at the lower limit, consistent with a type 2 scenario, compared to the previous week. A region, theUmbria, has a high level of risk.. They are also 12, compared to 10 the previous week, the regions at moderate risk (including 6 with a high probability of progression to high risk in the next few weeks) and 8 with low risk.
Emilia Romagna orange zone: today the verdict
Emilia to Orange, near Umbria
De Luca: colors underline Italy
For the Governor of Campania Vincenzo De Luca “We must pay attention to the galloping Covid epidemic because the choice made by the government of open and close, open and close, is one choice that is stressing Italy, you are neuroticizing Italian citizens and you risk prolonging the epidemic rather than shortening it. “The fact is that” we must pay attention to the epidemic, to the rampant Covid. Campania must be a hundred times more cautious than other regions because we have a population density and urban congestion that is at the highest level in Europe. If we lose control of the territory we will get hurt ”.
Marche, Acquaroli: anomalous situation
“The situation in our region is anomalous: we have some municipalities in the province of Ancona that have been showing growth for a week and a half, while the rest of the provinces are essentially at a time when the curve does not seem to have such a significant impact – explains the governor Francesco Acquaroli – We have an Rt that seems to have to be kept below 1, hospital admissions and the number of infections are stable. The strong contrast is between these Municipalities and the rest of the Region ”.
The specter of confinement
We continue talking about a possible closure, after the controversy caused by the appeal of Walter Ricciardi (followed by several other experts) about the need to close everything. Also the governor of Emilia Romagna Stefano bonaccini the national blockade is ‘cleared’ to stop the variants. “The government should ask itself this question: maybe two or three weeks shouldn’t be worth it. I don’t mean a total blockade as we have known it, but maybe an orange,” maybe ‘dark’, “said the latter. night in Piazza Pulita in La7.
Variations of fear
As the world struggles between Covid vaccines and new variants of the malignant virus, experts are raising the alarm precisely about mutations. “The variants of the virus were absolutely expected and are a natural phenomenon – explains epidemiologist Stefania Salmaso to Agorà about Rai3 – What we found are the most effective variants because they are more efficient in transmission and are gradually destined to replace the previous ones. to go out especially while there are outbreaks of infections in the different parts of the world where the virus spreads, we must be prepared ”.
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