the schedule of restrictions and regions at risk



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“We evaluate the hypothesis for next weekend to apply the red zone measures for holidays and pre-holidays, with the protection of the smallest municipalities to travel”: it is almost one in the morning when the Minister of Health Roberto Speranza formalizes government intentions on post-Epiphany restrictions. The expiration of Decree Law 172/2020, scheduled for January 7, could be extended with an ordinance of the ministry and there are two hypotheses on the ground: keep the measures in force until January 15, expiration date of Legislative Decree 158/2020 and from Dpcm December 3, or return to the yellow zone on January 7 and 8 and then go to the orange or red zone on the weekend of 9 and 10 and then, based on the monitoring of the Istituto Superiore di Sanità, assign the zones to the regions starting the following Monday.

Red and orange zone throughout Italy: what changes from January 7 to 15

“We are having the technicians do an in-depth analysis to lower the RT thresholds to access the red or orange zone. Measure that affects the zoning model, ”Speranza confirmed yesterday to the regional presidents. Previously, the minister had met with the Scientific Technical Committee to discuss the modification of the parameters for the definition of the yellow, orange and red bands. The debate on the legislative instrument that will be used to launch the new squeeze remains open: according to Corriere della Sera will be an ordinance of the Ministry of Health while Daily fact points out that a decree law could probably be used, since a simple disposition of the Prime Minister (or a new Dpcm) and therefore not even an ordinance is not enough to limit the right to move within the territory. Therefore, the new calendar of restrictions from January 7 to 15 foresees:

  • January 5 and 6 will be the last two days in the red zone throughout Italy: stores closed except for basic needs, prohibition to leave home except for work, health or necessity reasons and urgency that is justified by self-certification, touch of It remains from 10 pm to 5 am, only one visit per day (maximum two guests);
  • on January 7 and 8 Italy will be in the yellow zone: reopening of activities and all shops (with restaurants and bars closed after 6 pm), 50% of secondary school students return to school;
  • On January 9 and 10, Italy will be in the orange zone: possibility of moving within the municipality itself but not between one municipality and another and outside the region itself, shops open except bars and restaurants (however ‘take away food and delivery at home), curfew from 10 pm to 5 am, only one visit per day (maximum two guests);
  • as of January 11, the system of red, orange and yellow zones would come into force in the regions (at risk of the orange or red zone are Veneto, Liguria, Calabria and perhaps also Lombardy, Puglia and Basilicata);

Il Corriere also talks about another upcoming novelty: the so-called white zone. The Minister of Culture Dario Franceschini, with the support of the Minister of Justice Alfonso Bonafede, has well proposed the creation of a fourth risk band in which the regions with the best indicators would enter. In these areas museums, cinemas, theaters and concert halls can be reopened:

Bars and restaurants would operate without time limits, and even swimming pools and gyms would be back in full swing. However, always maintaining the basic rules of containment, such as mandatory mask, spacing and collection prohibition.

The rule should already be included in the next Dpcm or the decree law that Palazzo Chigi will have to implement before January 15: “As the yellow zone has enormous limits, starting with the curfew, we make a white zone, at the that can be accessed under a certain Rt index of infection transmission, ”Franceschini said during yesterday’s summit.

The calendar of restrictions from January 7 to 15

In government plans, therefore, the period from January 7 to 10 will be used to launch new parameters and indicators according to the National Institute of Health, the Scientific Technical Committee and the Ministry of Health: the idea is to activate the area orange when the contagion index Rt is greater than 1 and in the range of 1.25 and to trigger the red zone when it exceeds 1.25. The Fact recalls today that on January 8 the Istituto Superiore di Sanità will disseminate the new monitoring of the infection, which must be compiled on the basis of new evaluation parameters of the Rt index, the speed of spread of the infection yesterday at 0.99 national according to the calculations of the physicist Roberto Battiston of the University of Trento. According to the new “modified” Rt indicator, Emilia Romagna, Friuli Venezia Giulia and Marche would be at risk.

Yesterday, the president of Veneto Luca Zaia seemed resigned to the orange or red zone in an interview with Corriere: “Six technicians believe that the red zone is needed, they say so and the Region will act accordingly.” The governor of Liguria, Giovanni Toti, who has always been in favor of reopening and once again on the warpath with the government, thinks otherwise: “The situation is complex for Covid and it is also complex for the economy. The balance Between these two things must be sought with great care, consideration and a bit of courage to reach the vaccination campaign by surviving as many citizens as possible, but trying not to kill companies ”.

Second Republic Today the executive intends to make an ordinance with immediate effect, which also illustrated last night to the Regions, which will contain these measures common to all of Italy and will be in force until January 15, when the different provisions will enter a new Dpcm that it is done because the previous one, on December 3, will expire.

The control room closed its meeting by recommending that “in situations where the incidence is greater than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants per week, further strengthen mitigation measures already when Rt values ​​equal to 1 are observed, when the risk an uncontrolled or manageable outbreak is classified as moderate or high ».

Considering that no region currently has an incidence of 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, the change could lead to ten regions to have more restrictions, the newspaper explains that if the changes are made to the monitoring system, as of Monday 11 (from Saturday and Sunday will be all Italy orange), half of the country will change color, moving to areas with more restrictive measures than those provided for yellow. Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Marche, Puglia, Sicily and Lombardy risk the orange and Basilicata, Calabria, Liguria and Veneto even the red zone.

The regions of the orange or red zone as of January 11

For the days in the orange zone – that is, of only 48 hours, although we were also thinking of a continuous week, from 7 to 15 – there is no tightening of the curfew on the table (therefore it will be confirmed between 10 p.m. and 5 hours) and the prohibition to travel between Regions is a fixed point in any case, the “bridge measure” would have as another main measure the confirmation of the prohibition of welcoming more than 2 relatives or friends at home (under 14 years and not self-sufficient excluded). It would also prohibit travel outside the municipality of residence (the derogation for cities with less than 5,000 inhabitants to be evaluated).

For his part, Walter Ricciardi, professor of Hygiene at the Catholic University and scientific director of the Maugeri Institutes, as well as a consultant to Minister Speranza, in an interview with The impression says that the measures will not be enough to prevent the third wave: “I do not want to seem too critical, but I fear that the next data will subvert them as it has already happened in the past. It seems correct to me to correlate the rules at the level of contagion, you can only see a negative evolution of the pandemic “. And again: “” If action is taken, it must be enforced. Declarations of intent do not stop infections. ”

The Undersecretary of Health Sandra Zampa, for her part, raises the alarm about the vaccination campaign: “Here we are discussing and while the epidemic advances, it continues to be dangerous. This is not the time to get lost in the chat. You cannot face a vaccination campaign with hospitals under pressure, with the risk of employing health workers to help Covid patients. oxygen. We are going to use it. “The Regional Minister of Autonomies, Francesco Boccia, echoes it:” Today’s proposal is not to change the parameters, which remain the same because they worked, but the access thresholds to an area, deciding to be still more rigorous to allow the vaccination campaign to have less burdened health networks, to be defended with greater force when the RT exceeds 1. “” The zoning and responsibilities of the territories – continues Boccia – have worked because they have led the country to 1 72 to 0.8, and this is an objective result ”.

The latest Civil Protection bulletin says there are 14,245 new cases of coronavirus in Italy in the last 24 hours. The victims are 347. After the rebound of the last two days, the positive rate in Covid falls again, which stands at 13.8% compared to 17.6% yesterday. 102,974 smears were made in the last 24 hours. Patients admitted to intensive care for coronavirus in Italy continue to increase: they are 14 more than yesterday, with 154 new entries registered. There are 2,583 patients currently hospitalized in intensive care, compared to 2,569 the day before. There are 23,075 people in the departments, 127 more. However, there are still doubts about the reopening of the school: “As governors we have done everything necessary in terms of security for transportation in accordance with the prefects, but many critical issues remain in containing the pandemic,” warn the presidents of the Region in Lega. .

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