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The reinforced measures that the government launched during the Christmas me New Year They expire on January 6. But the coronavirus emergency is far from under control. Far from there. In fact, in recent days the relationship between positive and proven cases has grown steadily. For this reason, the executive considers extending the restrictions also starting on January 7, without returning all of Italy to the yellow zone. All the assumptions are on the table: Giuseppe Conte he is discussing it with the majority heads of delegation. In fact, shortly after noon, a meeting is underway for January 6, the day the current regulations will end. The Minister for Regional Affairs Francesco Boccia, the Undersecretary of the Prime Minister, also participates in the summit Riccardo Fraccaro, the coordinator of the Cts Agostino Miozzo, the president of the ISS Silvio Brusaferro and the president of the Superior Council of Health Franco Locatelli. The Minister of Health was also connected by videoconference, Roberto Speranza.
me numbersAccording to experts, they speak for themselves. “We still cannot speak of a return to normal life. We are living in a pandemic, the virus circulates a lot in our country and the health services are under stress ”, is the alarm launched by the president of the Higher Institute of Health. Silvio Brusaferro of the columns of Corriere della Sera. “The epidemic is not over, it is still in a very dangerous phase.” And the infections of yesterday, Saturday, January 3, confirm it: 11,831 cases but with only 67 thousand swabs and one growth rate increasing to 17%.
Meanwhile, even in the opposition, while the government meets with the heads of delegation, they are ready to talk about “after 6 January”. Matteo salviniAt 3 pm, you will hold a video conference with your own governors and group leaders Riccardo molinari me Massimiliano Romeo to speak, among other things, of the reopening of schools, vaccines, the economic crisis and also the political situation.
Expert concerns – What worries doctors and scientists above all is theRt trend. “It is increasing again and the number of positives is still high – explains Brusaferro – We also see the same thing happening in other European countries where the curves are growing and this common disease should warn us. We cannot fool ourselves into staying on the sidelines. Therefore, the general situation requires great attention ”. The reason? According to experts, it could be found in the “relaxation” that took place before Christmas, that is, in the shopping days when all over Italy the streets are filled with shops, often making the fundamental rule of distancing disappear. “Since December 20th all parameters are growing – underlines the teacher Enrico Bucci, a biologist at Temple University in Philadelphia from the pages of Republic – But what impresses me is the relationship between new cases and people cleaning for the first time: it is 38.5%. More than one in three people who have a swab for the first time are positive. While on November 23 it was 31.8% “.
The fear of scientists is that curve may get out quickly, thus going towards a third wave, or, if we prefer, a long tail of the second. “We must prevent the curve from starting again and this can be done by rigorously and systematically adopting the prevention measures that Italians now know: mask, distance, hand hygiene, not at all at meetings”, warns Brusaferro, interviewed by the Via Solferino newspaper. . Resource to which is added Walter Ricciardi, consultant to the Ministry of Health: “The epidemic is starting again and if a The policy of indiscriminate reopening would be like opening the doors to the virus. putting the national health service in difficulties between the end of January and the beginning of February. “Of course the vaccine gives hope, but, experts say, it is still early.” The reasoning ‘well, now there is a vaccine and then I can go back to do as before ‘is not correct – specifies Brusaferro – On the contrary, thinking this way ends up favoring the circulation of the virus. ”Therefore, it is impossible, at least for now,” to do without mitigation measures. “
Hypotheses in the field – Also for this reason the ideas for a reboot afterparties are still on the table. Possibilities include continuing with a new “reinforced yellow zone“On the Christmas model, with the closure of activities on holidays and pre-holidays and limits on travel, which will be launched immediately, at least for a month, with a new dpcm, that is, until the beginning of February. Or the hypothesis of extend the current measures (those of the Holidays) until January 15, and then evaluate the numbers and measures, thus avoiding the “free all” in the week between January 6 and the natural expiration of the dpcm. further modification of the mechanism to decree red or orange zones, thus lowering the RT threshold, as assumed by the newspaper Republic. Today, in fact, Rt is set at 1.25 for the passage in the orange zone and at 1.5 for the red zone, while an idea could be to lower the threshold by 0.25: in this way, according to the latest Monitoring data, three Regions would become orange, Calabria, Liguria and Veneto, another three would be in balance, Basilicata, Lombardy and Puglia.
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