There are still too many infections, Veneto at risk of red zone. Concerns about reopening …



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The positivity rate flies to almost 18% and now in the reboot of the Regions, as of January 7 again divided into three bands, the trend of infections is weighing. Grow hand in hand concerns about reopening schoolsAlthough the beginning of face-to-face teaching at 50% in the institutions remains on the schedule set for January 7, there are still many doubts among governors.

As much as to pressure the president of the Conference of the Regions, Stefano Bonaccini, to question that date: “I think it would be correct for the government to reconvene us in the next few hours and together we make a decision, in a very secular way,” he says. .

In view of a new decree that will exceed the last Dpcm that expires on the 15th, We also look at what will happen in the coming weeks: the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, has signed the ordinance with which the reopening of the ski resorts is postponed until January 18. “Now we can finally get out safely”, comment the councilors with responsibility for skiing in the autonomous regions and provinces of the Alps and Abruzzo.

And something crack opens in gyms with the proposal of the Coordinator of Sports of the Regions, Tiziana Gibelli, who assumes the resumption from January 15 under the guarantee of strict rules.

The location of the territories in the various zones – yellow, orange or red – sinstead, it will be decided after the follow-up that will arrive in the first half of next week. To risk the red zone for now are mainly Veneto, Liguria and Calabria, but also Puglia, Basilicata and Lombardy. Other warning indicators refer to Friuli Venezia Giulia, Valle d’Aosta, Piedmont, the autonomous province of Trento and Emilia Romagna, which are 50% more likely to exceed the critical occupancy threshold for beds in the medical area by 30 days. while for Lombardy, Trento and Veneto the same happens with intensive care. The situation in Sardinia is uncertain, while government sources assure that Abruzzo will return to the yellow zone from the 7th.

As for the trend of infection, the latest national data is not comforting: the bulletin speaks of 364 deaths and 11,831 new cases of Covid in a reduced number of swabs made, just over 67,000. The incidence of positivity has now increased by almost three points, to 17.6%, and patients admitted to intensive care are increasing again, although only by 16 units. The effects of the Dpcm of October 24 – according to several experts – are already exhausted and throughout Italy the curve of the epidemic begins to rise againSo much so that the estimates made by the statistician Livio Fenga indicate around 600 thousand total cases at the end of January, compared to the current close to 577 thousand. And there are at least 14 regions where estimates indicate a resumption of infections from Veneto. The survey shows an upward trend in the autonomous provinces of Trento and Bolzano, in Veneto, Emilia Romagna, Lazio, Marche and Umbria.

For the mathematician from Cnr, Giovanni Sebastiani, the hope is that “the recovery will be mitigated by the effects of the measures introduced on Christmas Eve, the effects of which will be seen in the second week of January.” According to the expert “it would be prudent to see the trend in the data and only then decide whether to reopen the schools.”

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