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The positivity rate flies to almost 18% and now in the reboot of the Regions, as of January 7 again divided into three bands, the trend of infections is weighing. Concern about the reopening of schools grows hand in hand: although the start of teaching in the presence of 50% in institutes remains on the date set for January 7, there are still many doubts among governors. Enough to pressure the president of the Conference of the Regions, Stefano bonaccini, to question that date: “I think it would be correct for the Government to reconvene us in the next few hours and together we make a decision, in a very secular way,” he says. Faced with a new decree that will exceed the last Dpcm that expires on the 15th, we also look at what will happen in the coming weeks: the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, has signed the ordinance with which the reopening of the ski resorts is postponed for January 18th. “Now we can finally get out safely”, comment the councilors with responsibility for skiing in the autonomous regions and provinces of the Alps and Abruzzo. And some sparkles open in the gyms with the proposal of the Sports of the Regions coordinator, Tiziana Gibelli, who assumes the resumption from January 15 under the guarantee of strict rules. The location of the territories in the different areas – yellow, orange or red – will be decided instead after the monitoring that will arrive in the first half of next week.
Calabria towards the red zone
To risk the red zone for now are mainly Veneto, Liguria and Calabria, but also Puglia, Basilicata and Lombardy. Other warning indicators refer to Friuli Venezia Giulia, Valle d’Aosta, Piedmont, the autonomous province of Trento and Emilia Romagna, which are 50% more likely to exceed the critical occupancy threshold for beds in the medical area by 30 days. while for Lombardy, Trento and Veneto the same happens with intensive care. The situation in Sardinia is uncertain, while government sources assure that Abruzzo will return to the yellow zone from day 7. Regarding the trend of infection, the latest national data are not comforting: the bulletin speaks of 364 deaths and 11,831 new cases of Covid in a small number of swabs made, just over 67 thousand. The incidence of positivity has now increased by almost three points, to 17.6%, and patients admitted to intensive care are increasing again, although only by 16 units.
According to various experts, the effects of the Dpcm of October 24 have already been exhausted and throughout Italy the epidemic curve begins to rise again, so much so that the estimates prepared by the statistician Livio Fenga indicate about 600 thousand cases in total at the end of January , compared to about 577 thousand streams. And there are at least 14 regions where estimates indicate a resumption of infections from Veneto. The survey shows an upward trend in the autonomous provinces of Trento and Bolzano, in Veneto, Emilia Romagna, Lazio, Marche and Umbria. For the CNR mathematician, Giovanni Sebastiani, the hope is that “the recovery will be mitigated by the effects of the measures introduced on Christmas Eve, the effects of which will be seen in the second week of January.” According to the expert, “it would be prudent to see the trend in the data and only then decide whether to reopen schools.”
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