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There is no need to avoid it: the return of more than 23,000 cases in a single day has fueled a double concern. Not only is there the fear that the effects of the reopening and Christmas shopping are already being felt, which have reignited a third wave. The real question is another and much more slippery: even in Italy, as in the United Kingdom, there is a Sars-CoV-2 variant similar to the English (or even different but still much more transmittable) that is traveling. Faster? After all, what happened in Veneto, with a marked increase in cases in recent weeks, could be a snapshot of what is about to happen in the rest of the country.
Covid Lazio, bulletin December 31: 1,767 cases (730 in Rome) and 73 deaths
Covid Lazio, bulletin December 31: 1,767 cases (730 in Rome) and 73 deaths
The tampon issue
But before reaching any conclusion, it is convenient to rely on the numbers, with a warning: the comparison with the previous weeks has contraindications because holidays such as Christmas or San Esteban always modify the regularity of the swabs. Few have been done in recent days and it may even be that today we are witnessing the recovery of evidence that had not been done around Christmas. Also, this must be understood now, the rate of positive swabs has become an unreliable figure, because in many regions, starting from Lazio, many rapid antigenic tests are performed that are not counted in the statistics of the Ministry of Health.
In the last week (between December 31 and 25) in Italy 97,833 new positive cases were registered, with a daily average of 13,976 infected. How was the week before? The new cases, between December 24 and 18, were 106,156, with a daily average of 15,165. Thus, weekly there was a decrease of 7.8 percent. This leads us to a conclusion, totally provisional, but similar to the one that we have been repeating ourselves in recent weeks: the number of cases is decreasing, but much more slowly than we expected. It must be said that the comparisons are also complicated by a problem that has occurred in Piedmont with respect to the antigenic buffer count, so it is also interesting to have the number of hospitalizations, which are more reliable. There are currently 2,555 Covid patients in intensive care, 23,151 in the other wards; a week ago they were 2,589 and 24,070 respectively; Two weeks ago they were 2,855 and 26,427; 3265 and 28 562 three weeks ago. Again: the pressure on the health system has decreased, but also very slowly. And let us always remember that sadly the places least occupied by Covid patients also have a terrible contributing cause, the number of deaths. So much so that every day in Italy, an average of 200 new Covid patients end up in intensive care.
Rome, New Year’s Eve party at the hotel in the center with dinner and dancing, but the police arrive: 27 people are fined
In the coming days, all these numbers will be consolidated and we will understand if the return of the Regions in the yellow band first, the Christmas holidays and the end of the year later (although with the limitations still in force), will make us pay a painful bill in terms of contagions. The next delicate step is January 7, when schools will reopen. Of course, these days we are in a somewhat better situation than in other countries such as Austria, Germany and the United Kingdom, but by now this pandemic has accustomed us to slight and slow drops and sudden increases. And soon we will have to look more closely at another table: the number of people vaccinated, in which Germany already has a figure ten times higher than that of Italy.
“Covid identified in the tears of a child”: the discovery (for the first time) of San Matteo di Pavia
Last update: 10:49
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