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This is how 2020 closed, with infections on the rise and patients in intensive care continuing to increase. And with fears of what will happen in the new year. The second wave shows no signs of losing altitude and the unknown factor linked to the holidays is now scary. In fact, yesterday 24,477 new cases of Covid were registered and therefore the ratio between positives and tests grew again, by three points, to stand at 12.6%. Not only that, deaths were 555 and new patients admitted to intensive care were 27.
Professor Roberto Cauda, Director of Infectious Diseases at the A. Gemelli Irccs University Hospital in Rome, what is happening?
“Without a doubt, the virus is circulating and the mitigation measures in place, including restrictions, red zones and distancing, are doing what they can but are not stopping the infection and the spread of the disease. The only real breakthrough will be vaccine».
Where are we in Italy?
“We are in the middle of the second wave of the pandemic. And we live with real concern about what may happen in January.
Why?
“There could be a greater circulation of the virus, more vigor. It depends on what is happening these days: in two weeks we will know if the restrictive measures have worked.
Infections these days?
«They represent the result of what happened in the first half of December. From the first days of December the number of infections varies from 8 to 10%. This tells us that the virus is circulating and that is certainly not a good thing. The Rt index is increasing, although it remains below 1% at the national level.
Is it a positive development?
“We are looking for the positive aspects: even the increase in intensive care in the last 24 hours, equal to 27 more, is not very high and, therefore, this figure is kept under control. But let’s talk about numbers that fluctuate from day to day. It is important to keep these figures under control because the risk lies in the new increase in hospitalizations.
Are hospitals in danger of trouble?
“Yes, infections are unfortunately on the rise and we also have a decidedly painful element to keep under control: the number of deaths.”
Are you still too high?
“We always run into hundreds every day. It is definitely alarming.
What does this mean?
“It means that the disease is far from being mastered.”
Now comes the flu, what will happen?
“Looking at the data from Influnet, on the monitoring of acute respiratory infections, therefore, in this period of influenza, we note that the percentage of patients is lower than in the past in this period.
About distancing?
‘It is too early to tell if there is a delay or if it is due to vaccinations, spacing, or template usage. In any case, it is fine for now, it is important not to overburden hospitals further. “
Last update: January 1 at 10:42 am
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