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He has always denied it publicly, but in the rooms of the palace it is still talked about. Especially after the words of Goffredo Bettini, exponent of the Democratic Party: “His leadership has never been questioned. It would be understandable that the force it has in the country becomes a political entity“He is obviously talking about Giuseppe Conte that in recent months, dazzled by the polls that showed him constantly growing in the midst of the pandemic, he had begun to think about a project to launch his own party. He continues to categorically deny, but his dream could soon become a reality: With a possible government crisis unleashed by Italia Viva, the political framework that would emerge could see the prime minister leading aalliance between 5 Star Movement and Pd.
It is no coincidence that two ministers close to him confirm that, in the event that this majority falls and they vote again ”,would give birth to your own party or listHowever, the Prime Minister faces a bivio: Putting on the shoes of a Giallorossi candidate or entering the race for the political leader of the Grillini? “If Conte took the first step, he would be the one to cause the crisis.“, explains a government official The impression. The leaders of the M5S and the Democratic Party have already joined alert: one of his parties would go fishing right in his electorate. Between the demos, Andrea Romano immediately makes a shield: “Is anyone really looking forward to the birth of a Conte party that would take votes away from the Democratic Party?“Then, it is emphasized, a premier’s list would be totally different from yours leadership at the head of an electoral alliance.
How much is Conte’s party worth?
But, what would be the weight of a possible Giuseppe Conte party? the Corriere della Sera asked some pollsters to answer the question. Nando Pagnoncelli of Ipsos He announced that for the moment there are no recent data on the electoral potential of the lawyer, also because the consensus derived from the institutional profile hardly translates into votes: “As is often the case in emergencies, part of the consensus on the prime minister’s job comes from opposition voters and from abstentionists (representing about 40% of the electorate)“But then they continue to vote for the party they feel closest to or insist on abstaining:”It is one thing to work as a prime minister who is not a member of a party, it is another to enter the electoral competition“.
Alessandra ghisleri of Euromedia Research He recalled that at the end of the summer they had tried Conte’s party at around 4-6%. Without an electoral campaign, the influence of the present counts a lot. “and is very present with all his press conferencesHowever, the consensus comes mainly from M5S and Pd. Instead Fabrizio farmhouse of EMG He reported that, despite the fact that the prime minister’s confidence is declining, he does not rule out that today it may be worth between 8 and 12% as potential: “The electorate to which he speaks in part is the Grillino, in part the Pd.“Without talking to the center-right:”He speaks a little, but very little, of the moderate side of Forza Italia“.
Second Pietro Vento of Demopolis Confidence in Conte in recent weeks has gone from 45% to 50%: he is now appreciated by more than 80% by the Giallorossi electorate, but he has to deal with a miserable 5% that comes from the voters of Lega and Fratelli d ‘ Italy. However, it is fair to reiterate that confidence is different from a consensus estimate of a Conte list: “If he voted for the House, according to Demopolis’s analysis, he would get 10%. Most of their consensus, 5-6%, would come from the M5S, 2 from the Democratic Party and the center-left, no more than a point from Forza Italia, nothing from the rest of the center-right“.
