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The boom in online shopping that increases the demand of operators of the Logistics. The strong need for medici, nurses and health workers to cope with the aging population. But also the possibilities that they open inbuilding, thanks to incentives for energy requalification of condominiums and public buildings. It’s in the public sector, who will have to replace many retirees and manage the funds of the Next generation UE. Faced with the health and social drama of the pandemic, which caused the worst recession in at least a century, to speak of opportunity it seems offensive. Especially if we talk about job, since more than 500 thousand precarious and autonomous They already lost it and by the end of March the blockade will end layoffs. However, the changes brought about by Covid do offer a number of exits for those who, during the recovery phase, will have to reinvent themselves. As many sectors are already doing: let’s go gourmet restaurants who manage home deliveries to the world of fashion turned to fashion shows in format digital, while the events companies go virtual.
“In the tragedy of this crisis, the positive side is that the challenge of relocation appears less impossible than in the past when we wondered about the impact of robots and digitization ”, he confirms Andrea Garnero, economist of the Directorate of Employment, Labor and Social Affairs of the OECD. The fixed point is that the coronavirus has structurally changed the economic fabric: “We will not go back to February 21, before the first case of Covid was discovered in Italy. We are used to doing internet shopping and this will remain. We have seen that it is not essential to always be present in the office and many will continue working from home a couple of days a week. “News that will reduce the demand for some services, let’s neighborhood shops ai Pub of business centers, because even a single smart work day means one day out of five “lost” for those who made the most of their billing with lunch breaks. And not everyone will be able to recover from childbirth. The growing habit of doing everything online, then, could mark the end of “physical” travel agencies.
New opportunities in logistics, health and assistance – But the same changes will give rise to other needs that will generate employment: “All companies, even medium-sized ones, will need skills in the field of ecommerce scheduling but also of Logistics”For home deliveries, Garnero continues. “Then they will need more conveyors, and maybe those who worked in a store closure because customers buy more online find a job in that fieldOther accessible opportunities without having to face years of recycling will be created “in the personal care sector: they will be increasingly necessary caregivers, nurses, health social workers“.
Remote work requires coworking and daycare – “With the pandemic we discovered that a ward nurse it could save more lives than a cardiac surgeon, ”he says. Emilio Reyneri, emeritus professor of Sociology of work from the University of Milan Bicocca. Which adds another piece: “The urban planners I agree that the possibility of remote work, limiting travel to a few days a week, will favor transfers in the province, especially in centers close to a subway or station. Here, coworking spaces could be developed, that is, with offices for rent and common services“: Another business opportunity. “Even at Southwhere, however, to make the so-called southern job possible, it is necessary to increase the supply of public services. Starting with healthcare, where we suffer from a severe shortage of employees, especially in the south, and by Nursing schools, which give a double advantage because in addition to allowing mothers to work create jobs for women”.
Banks and workers disappear … – Of course we are talking about jobs “often hard and difficult”, Garnero emphasizes, “and without sufficient economic recognition: therefore, with the increase in demand, incentives will be needed for families to choose not to pay the Nero. And a reflection on him collective agreements and on how to protect workers not covered by the negotiation, even if in Italy minimum salary there are strong reluctance ”. The question is crucial because Covid has accentuated a trend in place for years: the Polarization between highly skilled positions (and high salaries) and jobs “essential“But low-end, often intermittent and short-lived, not much paid out. At the expense are the works of the intermediate range, classic examples. counter in the bank and theskilled worker full time, which are declining. And Italy has a peculiarity: “It is theunique among developed countries in which it was mainly the low-skilled segment that expanded ”, explains Reyneri.
… And more young people with professional training will be needed – “After the crisis of 2009”, recalls the sociologist, “employment has been restarted thanks to restaurants, retail, tourism, personal services”. Translated: Waiters, dependents, employees of gyms and wellness centers, domestic workers. Among these are the activities most sunk by the pandemic, which are nevertheless destined to regain height: so much so that demand will exceed supply. According to the latest report from Unioncamere me Anpal on forecasting employment needs, by 2024 they will be needed each year 137 thousand people with professional qualifications to be used in restaurants, in beauty and sports centers, in mechanics, in commercial and administrative services, in construction, in logistics services. But the technical and professional institutes will only come 85 thousand.
Recovery paves the way for power programmers and engineers – On the opposite side there are highly specialized jobs. Here the demand is destined to increase especially in the sectors that will receive most of the funds under the Recovery plan Italian: the digital and the energy conversion to reach climate neutrality. the computer scientists obviously it will be more and more in demand. Forever Unioncamere me Anpal estimate that companies will need more in the next five years 930 thousand people with advanced digital skills, from programmers to engineers – e 740 thousand highly specialized professionals with “green” skills, including energy engineers, but also technicians working on construction sites. Trajectories that require years of study, so we are talking about interesting opportunities especially for young people who have not yet entered the market. And again: the draft plan envisions a “kindergarten plan” which, as Reyneri hoped, should provide jobs for many teachers. Figures with professional training in accordance with the times will also be required. Plumbers, electricians me mechanic For example, they must be able to deal with the Internet of things (electrical appliances connected to the grid), systems connected to the production of renewable energy, batteries for electric cars.
The public administration needs statisticians and mathematicians – Still on the subject of the Recovery Plan, to manage it will be essential procurement in public administration personal young – Today the average age is over 50 – and with new skills: the premier Giuseppe Conte He recalled that “there are ministries in which there is not one statistical, a organizational engineer, a mathematical, figures without which serious economic and social planning cannot be carried out ”. And he promised that these “gaps” will be filled with European funds. Therefore, the public sector will especially need graduates.
Opportunities for psychologists and the reboot of culture – The transformations in the labor market, according to Reyneri, will also create opportunities for those with specializations that are not framed in the scientific and engineering sector: “I imagine, for example, industrial psychologists me sociology to face the problems linked to the explosion of remote work and facilitate interpersonal relationships ”. And then, last but not least, there is the sector that Covid has hit perhaps the hardest of all: the culture. The sociologist has no doubts: “The question of cultural heritage, theater, cinema me museums it had grown a lot in recent years. After the pandemic there will be a very strong restart ”.
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