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While Matteo renzi In the middle of the pandemic, the tension in the government continues to be high despite the more relaxed tones after the summit between Giuseppe Conte and representatives of Italy Long LiveThree clarifications should be made about the possible future political scenarios of the country.
The first thing is that today, in the event of the fall of the Conte-bis government, there would be no health conditions to open polling stations to citizens, so much so that there is also talk of a postponement of the administrative. Well, that goes, we can talk about voting starting in the summer.
The second point is that the white semester will start from August 3, a period in which it will not be possible to dissolve the Chambers until the next President of the Republic is elected in February 2022.
The third point is that, although Renzi and Salvini have recently suggested otherwise, the state of affairs there is no alternative majority to Giallorossi, since probably also the always mentioned Mario draghi he would have little interest in leading a varied and unbridled majority, perhaps preferring to wait until 2022 to play his chances for Colle.
That said, it is not equally certain that Matteo Renzi and Giuseppe Conte will continue their journey together: if the leader of Italia Viva is going to be serious with him government crisis, in the Senate the prime minister could be saved by some Renzians along with a patrol of centrist leaders Directed by Sandra Lonardo, wife of Clemente Mastella.
Senate: how could Conte live without Renzi?
In recent days, Giuseppe Conte and Italia Viva are trying to repair the tear, with mediation in Recovery Fund that can be found while, if Matteo Renzi ever wanted to send the government into crisis, the card to play is undoubtedly that of Sanitary MONTH.
If ever IV requests are not all accepted and Renzi wanted to try Conte’s shoulder, the prime minister could also save himself at Palazzo Madama by going that far without, however, having the bulky senator from Rignano in the majority.
Alabama Senate the required majority is 161 senators. Currently the government can count on the support of the 5 Star Movement (92), the Democratic Party (35), Italia Viva (18) and Liberi e Uguali (5). However, there is also the support of some senators from the Mixed (10) and from the Autonomies (8).
In total the Conte-bis government therefore, he remains in the Senate thanks to the support of 168 senators, being the 18th of Italia Viva, consequently, decisive for the possession of the majority. But what if the Renzians left the government threatened several times in recent days?
Giuseppe Conte would meet 150 senators, to which could be added the two senators for life Renzo Piano and Carlo Rubbia. However, it is rumored that 5 senators from Italia Viva (but they could go up to 8) in this scenario they would abandon Matteo Renzi, vote for trust and thus go to Mixed.
Always of Mixed Group, the former Azzurri Sandra Lonardo could group several senators to whom the 3 of theUdC. Also from Go Italy, the senators most dissatisfied with the sovereign drift of the center-right would be willing to break.
Then Conte would I numbers to move on thanks to some centrist leaders and part of Italia Viva, so Renzi could resort to another strategy: bury the ax for a few months to remove it in August after the white semester, to compact those of his people who are scared by the ballot box.
The feeling is that, as long as this majority exists, the bear of the crisis will be constantly evoked by a Matteo Renzi that perhaps when Italy returns to the vote will do like Angelino Alfano who in 2018, after keeping the government at bay for a long time, decided not to go to the polls with his NCD and then went to work for Grupo San Donato, so much so that since Joe Biden won the elections in the United States Rumors of a possible future position in NATO persisted for the former prime minister.
