[ad_1]
“There are still many hospitalizations and only 628 deaths yesterday, because the virus is circulating. The measures taken have been helpful, but not decisive. I understand that the measures must be reconciled with the economy, but the only solution is confinement ”: Raffaele Bruno, associate professor of infectious diseases and primary school at San Matteo di Pavia, is the doctor who first diagnosed Covid-19 in Italy to Mattia, a patient from Codogno. And in an interview with The impression today says what many are whispering as Italy kicks off the soft lockdown for Christmas 2020 starting tomorrow.
What can happen after January 6: Italy runs the risk of a new blockade?
Bruno’s reasoning is simple: the restrictions promulgated by Decree Law 172/2020, which provides for the alternation of red and orange zones, are more relaxed than those of the spring blockade. Just think of the many exceptions to see family and friends and the possibility of easily organizing lunch, dinner and the 2020 Christmas party even among non-cohabitants: “I am afraid that this yellow, red and orange period will not be enough The open and close strategy should be replaced by close and open, that is, first the infection is lowered and then the activities are reopened. We must not pursue the virus, but prevent it, “he says. And he is right to look at the contagion data that emerged from the Civil Protection bulletins: the number of deaths is still high, the bad signs come from intensive care although the number of positives drops and the rate of positives for tampons.
What will happen in the days between December 24 and January 7? Second The sun 24 hours the two weeks of the red and orange zone will coincide with a probable decrease in the tests carried out, as in a very long weekend; But if that were the case, we would arrive in January, and at the reopening, with a partial vision of the real situation of contagion in the area. That is to say, fool ourselves about a regressing epidemic, as happened in the summer when a Bad Masters riot sold the bear’s skin before it had killed it, with the result of finding ourselves with the record of deaths in the second wave. In recent days, it was Walter Ricciardi who raised the alarm in an interview with Messaggero talking about the new variant that emerged in Great Britain and meanwhile arrived in Italy: “Now we need a confinement or in any case very severe measures. The new variant of the Sars-CoV-2 is no longer lethal, but circulates even at a speed of 70 to 80 percent faster. According to the first data in English, we know that it has three mutations that have been transmitted to better penetrate the nasal mucosa. They are close to the spike protein, but they do not seem to alter the protective capacity of the vaccine ”.
Self-certification starting tomorrow: how to complete it and ways to circumvent the rules
Third wave: the government doesn’t even want to think about it, for now
However, the government does not seem willing to change its plans. The line of penalty shooters represented by the Minister of Health Roberto Speranza, by the Minister of Regional Affairs Francesco Boccia and by the head of the delegation of the Democratic Party Dario Franceschini was ultimately committed to the red zone throughout Italy on December 24 to January 6: the last Decree law of the Conte government contains in itself a large number of exceptions, loopholes and ways to circumvent the rules. And the mass vaccination plan will not reach in any case the useful number of immunized, because there are still doses to do it. In fact, as Commissioner Domenico Arcuri explained a few days ago, the third wave could even jeopardize the vaccination plan, also because, as Aifa said, immunization is achieved only after the second dose. That is two weeks after the first.
And indeed, those who joined the optimists party this summer without any hesitation but in the meantime have become much more cautious. One of them is the infectious disease specialist Matteo Bassetti, director of the Infectious Diseases Clinic of the San Martino hospital in Genoa and member of the Covid-19 crisis unit of Liguria: “The cold that will arrive will not help in the fight against the coronavirus because in January-February, when we will probably have a third Wave of COVID-19 Cases, Many different viruses will mix: flu, para-flu, and coronavirus. It will be a complicated situation and you will have to be very careful. I hope that as many people as possible have been vaccinated against influenza and pneumococcus, this should help the most vulnerable a lot. Then always wear a mask and wash your hands ”. In recent days, there are those who have predicted a return to normality for spring, summer or October 2021. The risk is that the third hypothesis is more likely.
