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The British government appoints a committee of experts for each issue and obviously has more than one for Brexit as well. The Brexit XO (Exit Operation) Committee has finally presented the report on what would happen if the UK left the European Union without a deal on January 1. After reading it, Prime Minister Boris Johnson does not sleep soundly: according to the study, there will be chaos in the streets and squares, hospices will close and the sick will no longer be treated.
The XO Committee simulated a war game situation, called it Operation Capstone, and tried to predict the system’s reaction to any negative events. The scenario that awaits Great Britain is truly dramatic. Experts predict that in the event that no deal is reached, French and Spanish fishing boats, which are no longer authorized to fish in UK waters, will block ferries to Dover and Calais. Trucks that will still be able to pass will stand in long lines on Kent roads for customs clearance. The traffic around London will go haywire, ambulances and doctors will not be able to reach their destination.
With the trucks, the goods will also remain blocked, including the doses of the Covid vaccine. According to the Committee, gangs of thieves could take advantage of this and could seize the vials to activate a lucrative black market. Food, which Britain imports in large quantities, will also remain in customs. Nursing homes for the elderly will close due to the difficulties created by the devaluation of the British pound and the inability to use staff from Eastern Europe in the roles of carers and nurses. Clashes are also expected in the squares of major cities between “stay” supporters who will yell “we told you so” to Brexit supporters before attacking them. It has also been discovered, the Daily Mail added, that truck drivers heading to Europe will no longer be able to take a ham and cheese sandwich to eat on the journey, because the export of many groceries will be banned or controlled.
However, the XO Committee incredibly affirms that the country is prepared to face this emergency and that all critical areas can be addressed with good results. It must be a last-minute addition requested by Johnson, who does not want to appear weak in the last two weeks of negotiations with Brussels and still pretends that a no-deal exit may be an option.
Fishing remains the main obstacle, and French President Emanuel Macron is unwilling to give up: if they gave up British waters, Normandy fishermen would close their shop. Johnson joked about it, telling his co-workers that from January 1 “the British will eat fish for breakfast, lunch and dinner.” They will have to, as the UK now exports 70% of the fish it catches in its waters to Europe. But no reasonable government – said Johnson – will accept a treaty that does not contain these two fundamental things: the control of the laws and the territorial waters. There are two weeks to replace the slogans with an agreement, which will probably be found eventually. The scenario proposed by the XO Committee is very close to reality and Johnson knows this very well.