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“If we keep looking at what we saw over the weekend, the potential increase in infections is a certainty.”. Say it’s theinfectious disease specialist from the Sacco hospital in Milan, professor Massimo galli, to the Adnkronos news agency. “We will see the increase in infections from mid-January“, he declares in a peremptory tone.
If Christmas is yet to come, even more so is the boom of contagion. According to experts, infectologists, virologists and members of CTS, the third wave is upon us for the new year. By the second half of January 2021, academics predict a new spike in infections – another hit from the virus after a few weeks of relative calm? We’ll see. The latest Covid newsletter reports a significant inflection of the epidemiological curve with a decreasing number of deaths and positive cases (here the latest data). However, the alert remains very high: “Today’s numbers – explains Galli -, not wanting to give importance to the 30 more hospitalizations due to the trend, they reflect that with the restrictions of the last weeks, we were beginning to see results. The point is to keep them. The death toll, still very high, is the last parameter to go down, at this point we know. “.
There is great concern about Christmas, to return to the routine. The fear of the experts is that, with the reopening of clubs and stores, we will quickly return to the nightmare of last November, with the Covi departments almost saturated and endless lines in the buffer units. “Reopening everything implies the shows we have seen and the certainty of an increase in infections. – says Galli – So what does everyone say ‘there were a lot of people’, but where were you? Why were you there? If it’s okay to meet everything again“.
Is it all the virus’ fault? Apparently not. The future scenarios of the pandemic, at least in Italy, will depend on the anti-contagion measures that are adopted in the coming weeks. “The fewer movements, even of small municipalities, the less possibilities of contagion are created. – concludes the specialist in infectious diseases from Sacco – The dreaded third wave, at the beginning of 2021, seems dangerous because it will be fed by a very high number of infected: there are more infected at the moment, in Italy, than when the clubs were opened. At that time there was less evidence, but in any case there had been a real collapse in the number of symptomatic patients, even when counting asymptomatic patients never evaluated, it can be thought that the number of positives was much lower than at present. We continue to have, these days, a certainly high number of people with the virus circulating. The reopening of the Regions, with these assumptions, has connotations that justify the fears of the Higher Institute of Health ”.
