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the coronavirus it doesn’t kill everywhere in the same way. An analysis prepared by the National Observatory of Health in the Italian Regions of the Catholic University – Rome campus, director Walter Ricciardi and the scientific director Alessandro Solipaca, made on the information currently available relative to the last 2 months in Italy and on the data collected since the beginning of the health crisis in Europe, yielded very interesting results on mortality from Covid-19 in our country, or more precisely lethality.
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The latter «yes manifests itself with extreme variability in the regions, going from a maximum of 5.4% positives in Lombardy to a minimum of 1.3% in Campania, with an average of 3.5% at the national level ”, the study reads. Focusing on the October-December 2020 period, in particular on the data from October 12 to December 6, it emerges that “the levels of mortality from Covid-19 in Italian regions vary significantly, with the same prevalence of new infections and regardless of the age structure of the resident population “.
Experts confirm “what has already emerged since the beginning of the Covid-19 emergency”, that is, “the pandemic had different intensity and lethality both in Italy and in Europe. These evidences will have to be analyzed and understood by experts in medical science and the organization of the health system, since the differences found – they emphasize – are not attributable only to the fragility of the elderly population, the most affected by the virus ”.
From the start of the pandemic until December 14 – read the analysis – 65,011 deaths from Covid-19 have been registered in our country, of which 36.7% in Lombardy, 11% in Piedmont and 10.2 % in Emilia Romagna. The relationship between deaths and infections, therefore technically the lethality of Sars-CoV-2 infection, stands at 3.5% at the national level, with Lombardy experiencing the highest value (5.4%) and Campania the lowest (1.3%). According to data published by the Higher Institute of Health, updated as of December 2, the average age of deceased patients positive for Covid is 80 years. A figure that, from the third week of February, has been increasing until reaching 85 years in the first week of July, and then falling slightly below 80 years from September.
Experts highlight that, although the first epidemic wave essentially affected only the Center-North of the Peninsula, the second developed throughout the territory, however, it continues to show significant differences between regions, especially with regard to the number of deaths from Covid . In particular, ‘zooming in’ on the period from October 12 to December 6, it is observed that mortality levels in the different regions vary significantly despite the same prevalence of infections and regardless of the age of the resident population.
The analysis also examines the trend of deaths reported during 2 weeks relative to infections recorded in the previous 2 weeks, in order to consider the time lapse between diagnosis and death. When comparing the period from November 23 to December 6 with that of October 26 to November 8, the Observatory researchers observe a significant increase in the variability of the incidence of deaths and infections among the regions with the highest level of infections. This dynamic has weakened the link between infections and deaths, a signal to experts that factors of different nature are involved in this relationship.
Last updated: Tuesday, December 15, 2020, 12:46
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