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Almost all Italian regions recorded a slight decrease in daily cases of infections and in the number of beds occupied in hospitals and intensive care. However, this is not the case Veneto, which with 4,092 new cases in the last 24 hours occupies the first place nationwide and the Rt index does not want to know how to go down.
What are the causes?
The weekly report of the Istituto Superiore di Sanità is clear: the incidence of the virus per 100,000 inhabitants remains the highest in Italy, even more than Lombardy, the epicenter of the first wave. And the curve Epidemiology has not yet reached its peak as it has in other regions. What could be the reasons? In these cases there is always a concurrence of guilt: neglected distancing, high population density in large cities and, not inconsiderable, having always remained in the yellow zone when the figures should, perhaps, have encouraged greater caution. .
“Certain behaviors have consequences”
Among the three colors, the yellow zone is the one with the least restrictions of all, and Governor Zaia rightly did not take it well. “It seems clear to me that we are no longer afraid of dying. I am not in favor of a police state, but it should be clear to everyone that certain behaviors have some behavior Consequences“he replied in an interview with Corriere della Sera. “Despite the yellow zone, I adopted an ordinance that closed the large and medium sales structures on Saturdays, all stores on Sundays, and imposed one customer for every 20 square meters.“He adds about the high infections in the region.
Veneto’s yellow zone is essentially due to two factorsDespite the very high number of cases, the TR is 0.91 and, to turn orange, it had to be 1.25; So, paradoxically, the Region “pays” the price of having an excellent health system and a capacity for territorial monitoring, the highest in Italy with contact monitoring of 85.5% compared to 60% of the national average. These two factors, together, kept Veneto in the yellow zone, but it was not good. In fact, the Veneto Public Health Coordination (CoVeSaP) wrote to the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, to ask “urgently reassess the current yellow hazard classification“, and to Governor Luca Zaia to urge”the immediate adoption of stricter measures“.
The numbers in hospitals
Meanwhile, the figures from March to April are exceeded in hospitals. “Our peak in lockdown admissions was April 4 with 2,028 inmates. Today we are in 3,244 hospitalized. In intensive the peak was 356 people, today we are at 369“Zaia explains. And then about the high death toll, obviously, the ability to tracking of the epidemic. The governor urges citizens to better respect the rules because “There is a non-majority but highly visible part of the population that believes that the management of Covid is a problem of the institutions, simply bureaucratic. Do you want more rules? Look at the news: all the walkers interviewed say the same: ‘It is not prohibited’. Having avoided major restrictions such as Regions that have turned orange or red, for which the ban on moving municipalities has limited the damage, is causing today’s numbers in the Venetian provinces.
“It is normal for the virus to circulate”
“There were already many cases in Veneto in November. We kept everything open because we were in the area. yellow and the contagion curve has not dropped. It is normal that the virus continues to circulate, it does not surprise me – said the immunologist Antonella Viola, professor of Pathology at the University of Padua in an interview with Messenger Service. “Yesterday Padua was full of people: cities are like that. On the one hand I see the lines to enter the stores one at a time, on the other the bars outside with groups of people without masks drinking, smoking, chatting and all hanging out. The aperitif used to be at six, now it’s after three. It is no longer the time to appeal to the population, you have to do the controls and give the Many“. To limit the damage, the Region has enacted some more restrictive rules (such as the obligation to drink at the table in bars starting at 11), but waits every Friday for the Minister of Health to sign any movement to another range.
Germany model?
Even in the presence of good monitoring and a greater number of hospital beds than in many other regions of Italy, the virus can spiral out of control and common sense would want more restrictive measures like those that Germany is about to take, where La ” blocking light “has failed and we run for shelter during the Christmas season with a emergency shutdown total from next Wednesday and for at least 24 days. “In fact, it appears that the countries (or regions) that have been imposed more restrictions have an earlier descent of the epidemic curve – says Paolo Bonanni, epidemiologist and professor of hygiene at the University of Florence.
Pending what the national government decides in the next few hours, like Germany, Veneto would have (perhaps) had to close First: timing is key to avoiding deaths and further hospitalizations. A study carried out by Columbia University in New York on the first wave has shown that the same intervention applied even one or two weeks before, would have been enough to avoid 61.6% of infections in the whole country and 55, 0% of reported deaths. to May 3 in the United States. Let’s take a hint, before it’s too late.
