“Until the vaccine arrives I feel trapped”



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Luca zaia in direct today, Wednesday 9 December, from the headquarters of the Civil Protection of Marghera to receive the latest updates on Coronavirus in Veneto, the trend of Covid infection and the management of the pandemic.

Invited today the Vice President and Counselor of Legal Affairs – Public Works – Infrastructure – Transport Elisa De Berti and doctor Francesca Russo, head of the prevention department of the Veneto region. The doctor explained in detail why in our region the number of people who tested positive for Covid is so high and the curve descends so slowly, going into the details of the parameters and the question of the number of molecular swabs and rapid tests performed. Instead, we talk about Back to school with Dr. De Berti, who announced a 31 million euro plan to take children to classes. A sum that, as the Regions expect, should be assumed by the State that wanted to entrust the organization of the return to the prefects. But the Venetian prefects are in a certain way “advantageous”: the Region has in fact provided them with the three plans that it had already drawn up in the hypothesis of returning to the teaching classroom.

Zaia lives today

Bulletin

Molecular swabs performed to date 2 million and 921 thousand, rapid swabs 1 million and 204 thousand (73 thousand rapid swabs performed in the last 24 hours). Positive 173 371 since the beginning of panemia (+2427 in the last 24 hours), positive today 81,018, 3,161 hospitalized (346 in intensive care (+1), 2,815 (+36), 4403 (+29) deaths.

Veneto, the contagion curve

“We are at the top of the curve, we see a trend of timid regional decline – reported Luca Zaia -. We have had a gradual growth from day one, with no initial peaks, We reached the top, now expected to gradually decline. The key factors are that we have less than a third of the positives compared to March, but we also have about 600 more people hospitalized, but we did not have the confinement. And then there is the issue of social distancing which must be privileged not to circulate the virus. It is a virus that, according to the surveys we have carried out, will be present in 08% of the population: if I am with 100 people in a room, I have the statistical probability of having a person who can infect me ».

Why does Veneto have so many infections?

“When I read headlines saying that Veneto is the region with the most positive aspects, that is not true. Veneto finds more positive, yes, but why are we going to look for them ». This was reiterated by the President of the Region Luca Zaia. “It is not a happy island – said Zaia – but we are going to look for the positive aspects and we find them. In March it was said that there was the problem of finding the tampons, now there is the problem of not “charging” them all. It is a battle that we do, but virtuosity should not be punished ”, he concluded.

«The absolute number of positives means nothing. What matters is the percentage of the total swabs“This was specified by President Zaia, speaking with journalists about the contagion data in the region.« We would like to officially understand – he continued – and I also spoke with Professor Brusaferro, if the data is homogeneous at the national level. the absolute data of the positives you have to explain that it is not comparable with other regions; some only do molecular swabs, others a bit fast, some load data, others have chosen to test population groups and others not. It is not – he concluded – a data homogeneous’.

“We make a lot of tampons, we have a unique model of this type, I invited Dr. Russo because we would like to officially understand why we record all these infections. We present to the Government all the results of the swabs, even the quick ones, and there are two or three of us. regions where we adopt this behavior.

Doctor Russo
As long as we have different strategies and ways of calculating different indicators, they are not comparable to each other. I mean the total of positive swabs with the total of swabs made. This allows us to calculate the famous Rt – explained Dr. Russo -. Meanwhile, the indicator did not go hand in hand with the development of diagnostics, which exploded: rapid tests were introduced and developed. These made it possible to identify positive subjects early and isolate them. We have focused a lot on this type of diagnosis. This has increased the number of swabs performed, between molecular and fast. We have a strategy logic that focuses on enhancing the possibility of identifying the positives and isolating them. Quick swabs are used not only in suspicious cases but also for all close contacts of the subject who test positive on the quick swab. This allowed us to intercept many asymptomatic positives. The logic of asymptomatic patients is not the same in all regions. For example, the Lazio Region has eliminated the search for positivity in close contacts with asymptomatic people. And all the positive of quick swabs must be confirmed by us with the molecular swab. The fact that we have different strategies and we use a large amount of evidence, and this is not uniformly present in the calculation of the data sent to the Government. We have noted that these factors generate discrepancies. Everything that is not equally standardized cannot be compared, such as other criteria, such as hospitalizations or other indicators calculated in the same way. We have seen that in the several weeks we have had a gradual rise, we have stopped at one level and we are decreasing slightly, and it is significant because it indicates, except for changes, that a decrease in the positives is beginning. We do not have a downward trend in intensive care because they refer to people already hospitalized. The age groups most affected: those over 80 are the most serious, and clearly the type of population between one region and another must be considered. The more you can standardize, the more comparable the data will be and will give us a more objective reading of Italy. We have an important indicator, which is the one that evaluates the capacity of a region to identify the clinical status of positives: understanding who is asymptomatic and symptomatic. There is a 60% threshold that must not be lowered for this parameter to be considered valid, we have 85.5%. This is considered as the capacity of a region of robustness of the monitoring system and then because the Rt is calculated with this data. We have greatly strengthened contact tracing to keep this parameter high.

How does Covid behave?

This virus is behaving like other respiratory viruses that have led to pandemics, such as influenza viruses, ”Dr. Russo explained. In 2009 there was a pandemic with a high number of cases in a short time around the world, it was less serious than expected. We bought a vaccine produced in a short time, the virus was H1N1. It was finally classified as a moderate to intense pandemic. Now we are faced with an unknown virus, unpredictable, but it has the behavior of any pandemic virus: first wave, decline in the summer season and recovery in the fall. It was not foreseeable that there would be a trend in cases higher than the first wave. As much as we have increased the diagnostic capacity, obviously this causes more positive intercepts. Now Covid begins to decrease: the ability to spread begins to decrease, people come into contact with the virus and act as a “barrier”, what will happen next depends on the ability we have to activate the vaccination plan.

“Until the vaccine arrives I feel trapped”

Until the vaccine arrives I feel trapped, I don’t think we can think of living in a system of restrictions and loosening, with the terror of meeting others, with the fear of everything and everyone, without perspective. And the fact of being able to start a vaccination process gives us a little respite, the possibility of getting out of it. “We must provide citizens with certainty and certainty about the use of the vaccine,” said Dr. Russo.

Veneto Rt

The RT of the region has always been below 1.25. In our region, due to a series of conditions, it decreases more gradually – said Dr. Russo – and we have to wait for it to decrease slowly. The assessment of Covid in the region is carried out on several parameters and not only on this. “From the data that I have analyzed our scenario, for me, it is not such as to make us slide towards the orange zone. I am waiting to evaluate more data, then the Istituto Superiore di Sanità will do its own evaluations ”, said Dr. Russo.

Zaia sul Mose

“I also said it on the opening day and was literally ignored by everyone. I am an unrepentant autonomist, the guardian of the territory is the mayor of Venice and he must manage the Mose ». Veneto President Luca Zaia told reporters. “It is useless to stay here to defeat him – he continued – the government of the Laguna must be in the hands of the Municipality of Venice. After all, the Republic of Venice did. I am not doing it a question of latitude but a practical question, the owner of the interest is the one who submerges. Certainly – Zaia concluded – the meteorological forecasts of our offices were disastrous, with 5 centimeters between 125 and 130, a streak is a moment ».

Back to school

This morning I met the prefects where the restart plan is up to them, bringing the kids back to school will be the responsibility of the prefects. The prefects noted that Veneto has made progress on the issue. Starting Monday they will set up tables and pass the direct exam of our regional plan. 50%, 80%, 100% attendance: these are the three scenarios on which we reasoned, they established 75%, we are talking about 800 buses that will be found, of which 771 are private. I’m done 31 million euros those that will be used to bring the children back to school, with the possibility of entry until 9. The Dpcm has planned that the prefects organize it, all the regions assume that these 31 million will come from Rome.

Last updated: 14:11

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