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Today the Ministry of Health will receive the new report from the Higher Institute of Health on regions in the yellow, orange and red zone and in the afternoon, as happened last week, Roberto Speranza will publish the ordinances that will change (or confirm) the color of some territories. According to the forecasts collected, the control room would have given its consent for the transition from the red zone to the orange one as of Sunday, December 6, to:
- Aosta Valley
- Campania
- Tuscany
- South tyrol
Instead, they could switch back from the orange zone to the yellow zone as of Sunday, December 6:
- Emilia romagna
- Friuli Venezia Giulia
- Market
- Puglia
- Umbria
The eight regions (and an autonomous province) towards the color change from Sunday, December 6
From the Higher Institute of Health the invitation to evaluate new measures at the provincial or regional level for the three regions that remained at “high” risk: Calabria, Puglia and Sardinia. The evaluations of the Scientific Technical Committee and the Minister of Health Roberto Speranza are now awaited. The order establishing the color change must be signed within the next few hours. Instead, it is appropriate to renew the restrictive measures in force for Abruzzo, Basilicata, Calabria, Lombardy and Piedmont.
Hope will sign 3 ordinances.
1) The restrictive measures in force for Abruzzo, Basilicata, Calabria, Lombardy and Piedmont are renewed.
2) Campania, Toscana, Valle D’Aosta and Bolzano go from red to orange zone.
3) ER, FVG, Marche, Puglia and Umbria turn yellow # COVID-19– Giovanni Rodríguez (@GiovaQuez) December 4, 2020
“I recently received confirmation from Minister Speranza that Emilia-Romagna will return to the yellow zone as of Sunday. Decision that the minister will formalize in a new ordinance that he will sign in the next few hours. We will continue in the orange zone today and tomorrow and after midnight on Saturday we will be in the yellow zone. “Thus, the president of Emilia-Romagna, Stefano bonaccini. “The restrictions of these three weeks, therefore, have paid off – emphasizes the governor -, but we must continue to be responsible and respect the rules because the commitment of all to stop the pandemic must continue, to protect the health of all, starting by people. more fragile, and they help the health and social-health structures, doctors, nurses, operators, who day by day continue to do their job in a commendable way ”.
This instead the comment of Francesco Acquaroli, President of the Marche region: “At last the confirmation that we were all waiting for has arrived: from Sunday we are back in the” yellow zone. “We are happy with this news but it should not be seen as an exemption from all responsibility. The virus continues to circulate and every day We continue to register a large number of positive subjects, if not necessary, therefore, we must try to avoid places of potential overcrowding, we must do everything possible so that our region remains permanently in the yellow band . It is in your hands. Help us! “.
Even Umbria will soon be in the yellow zone: “I am sure that our passage will be made from Sunday, Minister Speranza called me recently, telling me that Umbria has all the parameters to return to the yellow zone”: said the president of the region. Umbria, Donatella Tesei. “The ordinance will be signed tonight, tomorrow at the Gazzetta and will be effective from Sunday,” added the president.
The ISS report: three high-risk regions
Three regions are “classified as high risk” for Sars-Cov-2 transmission: Calabria, Puglia and Sardinia, the latter as a “precautionary measure, as the integrity” of the data cannot be reliably assessed. This is what emerges from the report of the Higher Institute of Health-Ministry of Health with the weekly monitoring of the coronavirus epidemic. The high risk classification “for 3 or more consecutive weeks – we read – foresees the adoption of specific measures at the provincial and regional level.”
“The mean Rt calculated in symptomatic cases is equal to 0.91”, we read. “We found specific Rt values lower than 1 in 16 autonomous regions and provinces,” the document continues. Of these, 15 have a punctual Rt lower than one even in their upper confidence interval, which indicates a significant decrease in transmissibility ”.
Between the last week of November and the beginning of December “a generalized reduction in global risk is observed, with most of the Autonomous Regions and provinces at moderate risk and for the first time, after seven weeks, two at low risk”, Basilicata and Campania. In particular, 16 regions are classified as having a moderate risk of Sars-Cov-2 transmission. Of these, 5 have a high probability of progressing to high risk in the next month if the current transmissibility remains unchanged: Emilia Romagna, Marche, Molise, Autonomous Province of Trento, Veneto. In these regions, “it is suggested to carefully evaluate the convenience of adopting mitigation measures, also at the subregional level, planned for the level of risk itself.”
“The incidence is still too high to allow sustainable management, so it is necessary to reach levels of transmissibility significantly lower than 1 throughout the national territory, allowing a greater decrease in the number of new cases of contagion and, consequently, a reduction of pressure on local health services and hospitals ”, highlights the document.
The occupancy rate of ICU beds “still exceeds the critical occupancy threshold at the national level. Overall, the number of people admitted to the ICU has dropped from 3,816 (November 24) to 3,663 (December 1). While the number of people hospitalized in medical areas went from 34,577 to 32,811 ”.
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