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According to an investigation, the Covid 19 epidemic could be stopped in six weeks. Here is the mathematical model that proves it
According to this study, a program of rapid carpet tests could end the Covid-19 epidemic in 6 weeks. The research was conducted by Harvard University of Boulder and Colorado, published in the journal Science Advances.
Thanks to this radical testing program, they were able to find mostly asymptomatic people. According to the researchers, mass rapid tests, although less reliable than traditional nasopharyngeal swabs, have the advantage of being able to help health authorities decide. more specific interventions instead of prolonged closures.
I quick tests they are inexpensive and give results in minutes, unlike a tampon.
“At the public health level, it is better to get tested less sensitive with results in the day, compared to more reliable tests that nevertheless give the result the next day ”, comments Daniel Larremore, coordinator of the study. In this way, “instead of telling people to stay home to make sure a positive person does not transmit the virus, we could only make those who are actually infected stay home, leaving everyone else free to go out“, keep it up.
According to the study, based on mathematical models, by performing rapid tests on 3/4 of the population of a city every three days, the number of infected would be reduced by 88%, a figure “enough to end the epidemic in six weeks “. Furthermore, as Michael Mina, a co-author of the study points out, “rapid tests are contagion tests, very effective in detecting the coronavirus when people are contagious ”.
VIRGILIO NEWS | 11-23-2020 14:35
Photo source: ANSA
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