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The epidemic of coronavirus in Italy it remains “at critical levels”, with 17 Regions “high risk“And a” significant impact on wellness servicesBut the measures adopted by the government and the Regions to combat it are beginning to work:Rt index now it is in altitude 1.18 across the country, from 1.4 in early November. The last draft reveals it surveillance Iss-ministry of health relative to November 9-15, in which “an initial effect of measures of mitigation introduced at national and regional level. “However, given that transmissibility in a large part of the territory still has an Rt above 1 and implies an increase new cases, “This trend should not lead to a relaxation of measures“In fact,” it should be an invitation to continue more strict and strict, ”warned the president of the Higher Health Council. Franco Locatelli present the report. “The data are indicative of a significant glimpse that opens, but we avoid repeating the mistakes last summer“. Three Regions become the special observers of the technicians: it is Molise, Veneto (currently in the yellow zone), and Friuli (it slipped into the orange zone on November 13). Given the “High probability” of a move to the high risk box next month, says the file, “the health authorities are recommended” to evaluate “the possible adoption of new mitigation measures“.
Now it remains to be seen whether the control room which includes government, experts and local authorities – summoned to analyze the monitoring of the ISS – will change the classification of the three Regions. The case is different Lombardy, Piedmont, Calabria me Aosta Valley, which will remain red until December 3. And of Puglia me Sicily, still in orange zone. The minister decided it Roberto Speranza with order signed in the morning. A necessary measure, since the previous ordinance that inserted them in their respective areas dates from November 4 and dpcm requires the decision to be reviewed every 14 days. The ministry, in fact, announces that from now until the beginning of December the possibility of one remains open. new classification based on the trend of infection. The hope of Attilio fontana me Alberto Cirio, which in recent days have argued that with these numbers the respective Regions could be “already in orange zone“Is it that the” promotion “for Lombardy and Piedmont can take place earlier, ie November 27.
Figures in hand, it seems that in the Region led by Fontana the RT fell to 1.15, while in Piedmont it is 1.09. But as is known, the index is not the only parameter that is taken into account to assess the impact of Covid on the territory. The regions where it remains high are Basilicata 1.46, Abruzzo (1.32), Tuscany (1.31), Friuli Venezia Giulia (1.27) e Puglia (1.24). They are followed by Valle d’Aosta, Sicilia and Emilia Romagna (all three in 1.14). In Campania, the replicability of the virus is 1.11, in Bolzano 1.16. Umbria and Calabria are at 1.06, while the province of Trento stops at 1.03. There are four Regions where it is less than 1: Lazio (0.82), Liguria (0.89), Molise (0.94) e Sardinia (0.79). In the report, the ISS then returns to the groom i data arriving from the Regions, indicating that it continues to be “a critical issues in maintaining the high quality of the data reported to the integrated surveillance system to opportunity, both for I complete it“.
At the hospital front, however, technicians confirm that the critical threshold occupation of positions in the medical area or Intensive care It has been exceeded “in 18 Regions“. If the current transmissibility of the virus is maintained, therefore,” almost all Regions / Pa have a probability greater than 50% of exceeding at least one of these thresholds within a month. The continuous increase in people with Covid-19 admitted to hospitals implies an inevitable resource erosion for patient care with other diseases“. The good news, informs the president of the ISS, Silvio Brusaferro, is that” the probability of saturation of the beds, even those that can be activated, at 30 days, has moved away a little“. The General Director of Prevention of the ministry, Gianni rezza, adds that “if on the one hand we can see a flash thanks to measurements in place, which must continue to be implemented, on the other hand we must endure because the intensive care occupancy rates are not positive and this situation can also last a long time despite the drop in RT “.
It is no coincidence that yesterday the governor of Veneto Luca zaia He said he was concerned that “the number of admissions in non-critical areas is the real pressure on our hospitalsHe then warned that these are “crucial days for the numbers“But he is confident that his Region can still stay in the yellow zone. The shades of Giovanni toti, who defined the possible inclusion of his own as “totally unjustifiable” Liguria in the red zone. A case apart is Puglia, where the president Michele Emiliano asked the government to include “exclusively the territories of the provinces of Foggia and of Bat in the so-called red zone, characterized by a scenario of maximum severity and a high level of risk. “Palazzo Chigi responded that the Regions are already endowed with this power and can independently provide for the adjustment. The minister Francesco Boccia He also assured that I refreshments for the economic categories affected, they are guaranteed in any case, whether the ministry intervenes or if it is a governor to do so. Then he added: “The situation in Puglia “It depends on the data. Emiliano is right to ask restrictions and be strict. If he asks for two provinces, if the conditions are right, it makes sense to ask for it for the entire Region in the first phase ”. Now it remains to be seen if the hypothesis was completely ruled out with the order signed in the morning by Speranza or if the option of the red zone is still on the table.
Meanwhile, the game that the rulers are playing refers precisely to the mechanism on which the classification of territories is based. After days of negotiations and controversy, Regions and the executive seem to have reached a truce over the famous 21 parameters. Palazzo Chigi has stood firm on one point: the criteria, ratified by the ISS with the approval of the same local authorities more than a month ago, have not changed for now. Minister Boccia, during the summit that took place yesterday in videoconference, reiterated its effectiveness. But he granted the governors, who asked to reduce them to five, the establishment of a technical table comparison starting today. The goal is to build a shared path to reach the new dpcm that will replace the one that came into force on November 3. Beyond the 21 parameters, on which the experts will debate, the hypotheses on the table for now are different: since the opening of the stores Until 10 o’clock p.m green light on dinners in the restaurant. But the knot of the red zones remains, where no relaxation of the measures should be triggered.
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