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What happens at Christmas will depend a lot on how we behave, if we respect the rules. The adoption of rigorous measures in the areas of the country where the highest Rt is intended to cool the indicator and that quickly the RT drops to 1, which in any case means a slower growth in the cases, but always a growth. The goal is to bring Rt above 1 below this level. Why Silvio Brusaferro, President of the Istituto Superiore di Sanit, on the occasion of the updated press conference on the health emergency. Ultimately, we must prevent the epidemic from getting out of control, he clarified. In school – in particular – there is a monitoring developed by the Ministry of Education to identify outbreaks. In fact, it is evaluated how the spread in schools is comparable to other parts of the country. So let’s talk about a highly supervised sector.
The controversy over the 21 indicators
Returning to the controversy over i the 21 risk indicators with which the situation of the individual Regions is evaluated (and their division into yellow, orange, red bands) – he highlighted – how it is an articulated and complex system that requires more indicators to represent reality in the best possible way. the complexity of the Italian healthcare structure. The risk estimation – he added – brings together some indicators of the trend of the epidemic, it allows us not to evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of the systems, nor a report card. a system that accompanies us in identifying the risk of the epidemic getting out of control. Regarding the supposed lack of timeliness of the data, he clarified: Indicators are a combination of data that can be provided in a timely manner and others that require the time necessary to collect a set of information collected at the individual level. There are moments, such as incubation, on which the time required for data collection depends.
Rezza: 15% test positive rate still high
What emerges, in short, is a stable picture with a slight decrease in positives, but with indicators of hospitalizations and deaths that are not good and that represent the consequence of the cases that have accumulated in recent weeks. At the moment, however, there is no growth in the epidemic, but perhaps a slight decrease, clarified the Director of Prevention of the Ministry of Health. Gianni Rezza. By submitting today’s newsletter data, todaytolineando as the ratio between positive tests in total tests about 15%, still high, and like Lombardy has the highest number of cases, with Veneto and Campania.
Merler: Asymptomatic unstable altitude, does not fall within Rt
To also respond to the Regions Stefano merler of the Bruno Kessler Foundation. The estimates are far from uncertain and in the other regions, except Molise, the bifurcations for RT are not excellent. In addition, these data are public on the website of the Ministry of Health, he recalled, highlighting how the data is much better than that of Germany, for example, also due to the inhuman effort of all. And on the calculation of the RT he clarified: We calculate the RT from two data sources: the time series of symptomatic data and the date of appearance of the symptoms. We do not consider asymptomatic because they are a very unstable amount over time and when there is difficulty in tracking contact, their participation decreases.
November 17, 2020 (change November 17, 2020 | 17:44)
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