[ad_1]
TRENTO. We talk about 3% threshold. This would be the percentage of positive for residents above which the municipalities would be destined to become ” red zone ” by future order of Governor Fugatti. Pat’s president explained this to the group’s leaders today, adding that three municipalities will be included in this range. All this while the president of the Gimbe Nino Cartabellotta Foundation, intervening in the transmission Agorà in Rai 3 explained that ” an epidemic is defined ‘out of control’ when positives exceed 1% of the population and yesterday, in addition to having expected a million cases since the beginning of the pandemic, we broke the threshold of 1% of the population currently infected by Sars-Cov-2 ”.
But once Cartabellotta’s considerations have been removed, another element must be clarified, the usual one: it is based on 3% true, therefore with antigenic positives as well (MORE INFORMATION HERE), or in Partial 3% of Pat’s data? Why in the first case the municipalities that risk are different, in the second to yesterday I was alone Ticino Castle very close to that threshold (today, obviously, two others have been added that are not yet known). For the Apss and Pat data published in dell’Fbk report, in fact, only the municipality administered by the mayor Graziella Menato (who asked Fugatti about the “ red zone ”) was close to this percentage: was 2.99% with 35 positives. In fact, we know that the “ true ” positives have been two days ago, therefore with antigenic swabs, they were 53 (34 molecular and 19 antigenic) hence the relationship it was already above 4.5% (resident population considered 1,167 inhabitants).
And following the track of the “real” positives that exist in each municipality those of the “red zone” because above 3% would therefore be many more. For example, the mayor of Baselga di Piné in its update yesterday all 21 was very clear and on Facebook explained that “positive a molecular buffer 88. Positive to quick swab 76. Official positives as of 11/12/2020: 164. Positive percentage 3.2%. The the strength of the pandemic is increasing and we need to increase attention, maintaining serenity. ” But if we refer to the data provided by the Province, Baselga di Piné would have a positive ratio per resident stable at 1.9%. And in situations as complicated as Baselga di Piné they are varied. For data Pat / Fbk there is Bresimo at 2.4%, Malé at 1.9%, Fierozzo at 2.3%, Palù del Fersina at 1.9%.
The first citizen of Piné Alessandro Santuario For days he has been doing a good service to his community. keep you updated on facebook with the ” true ” data because only one Community properly informed and aware of the reality of the facts. can the face seriously such a delicate situation which depends a lot on the behavior of individuals. A call for transparency that comes, again, after the mayor of Trento Ianeselli also communicated the real data (1,100 positive for antigenic and 750 for molecular) by the councilor Paolo Zanella former nursing coordinator of the Geriatrics department of Hospital Santa Chiara: ” When today in the Battiston newspaper he talks about a slowdown in the infection (the reference is to an article by Trentino ed), with a curve that goes from exponential to linear again, I don’t think it takes into account the data on antigenic buffers, since they have never been officially declared. ”
” Stabilization of the number of positives to molecular buffer – continues – could be related to a can (I don’t have the numbers so it’s just a guess) Change in the use of buffers, from molecular to antigenic. (it seems that APSS itself uses them too) for lack or less use of the first (I remember that until now the seconds are not counted, so using them would have the side effect, certainly unwanted, of decreasing the number of declared positives). further the use of molecular substances, which has been carried out recently to verify the negativization ten days after the positivity of the antigen, increases the denominator in the calculation of the positive fraction of the buffer. And it does so with a quota of negative swabs almost certainly, given that they are performed more than ten days after the first positive antigen test precisely to declare the end of the quarantine. A system that is anything but transparent”
Mom in 2020 a nice clear spreadsheet with: number of molecular and antigenic swabs performed each day; among these, how many made suspicion / close contact and how many for control in people who already tested positive; the number of positives and negatives for the four subcategories Is it so difficult to do? Since it is stated that in fact molecular testing to confirm positive antigen is no longer possible to do in a timely manner and that even antigen is “reliable”, at least count it in the calculation of total positives. The transparency in information is one of the pillars of liberal democracies. Do not give the correct data or giving it only partially, makes it difficult for the scientific community to identify measures to contain the epidemic. the The consequences are very serious because they affect people’s health and lives. And the The responsibility for all this rests with those who govern the Province.”