Orange zone: Brands at risk? It all depends on intensive care – Chronicle



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Pesaro, November 11, 2020 – While the ministry puts the Regions in the spotlight, inspecting each parameter to confirm attribution to an area or downgrade them to more or less vermilion scenarios, one wonders how comfortably Marks can recline in this yellow frame, or whether the descent, like happened in the last days to Abruzzo, Basilicata, Liguria, Tuscany and Umbria. At the moment, according to the data processed week by week by the Health Service of the Region, the situation seems stable, but the only parameter to keep under control is that of intensive care beds. That’s where Brands are weak, not just because they have 8.3 beds per 100,000 inhabitants (When to be sure there must be 14). But also because the only data that has a significant impact is precisely that.

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The Covid in Brands newsletter All data on infections province by province

Intensive care

And give made official yesterday, for example, show a Increase in Marks of 4 places (for a total of 75) but the prediction is that another 28 will be added before November 15, with a total application of 95 places. “This implies – writes the Region – the need to review the general organization of the hospital care response that runs the risk of not being able to guarantee the correct responses to the needs of Covid and non-Covid patients.” In general, in the Marks yesterday covid hospitalizations amounted to 600 in hospitals, 10 more than the day before: in addition to the 75 intensive, there are 149 patients in semi-intensive care and 376 in non-intensive wards.

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Stable incidence

Doing to the parameters, of which the Ministry It takes into account assigning a color to the areas, the Marches are doing very well. The growth of the incidence is slowing down, that is, the spread of the virus has stabilized: the cases are not doubling every week, but we are quite stable. Yesterday’s figure was as follows: 2608 swabs tested, of which 1425 in the new diagnostic route, and 504 positive (35%), the majority in Macerata and Ascoli, 70 in the province of Pesaro-Urbino.

Rt index: 1.29

The number of positives is also calculated the Rt index, which is another of the 21 parameters analyzed by the ministry. With our numbers and our growth rates, the RT, right now stopped at 1.29, it shouldn’t grow much. So, in essence, if the Brands will be able to expand the beds as much as possible even in the private sector and, for non-serious cases, use more of the semi-intensive, then the time to enter the orange zone will move away. Finally, a parameter not included among 21, is that of deaths: yesterday 10, 7 women and 3 men, between 76 and 97 years old, were made official, all with previous pathologies.

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